Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Yale vs. Texas A&M
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x427009ce0b069c38f4fdbe9552363b4550e284b1d1b7136d211e7dbd3a2d3387
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Texas A&Mof Yale, Texas A&M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,496
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yale | 10c | 18,091$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.31 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Texas A&M | 74c | 7,070$5,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,858.96 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yale | 0c | 4,782$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yale | 24c | 3,800$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.5 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yale | 26c | 3,800$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Texas A&M | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Yale | 27c | 1,745$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.15 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15b8…75d1backed Yale | 10c | 1,352$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2388…a491backed Yale | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Texas A&M | 76c | 785.94$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yale | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Texas A&M | 73c | 589.99$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Texas A&M | 73c | 459.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Texas A&M | 74c | 429.48$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.37 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yale | 20c | 425$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yale | 24c | 416.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Yale | 25c | 406.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yale | 26c | 378.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Yale | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Yale | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Yale | 14c | 283.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yale | 25c | 262.04$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.51 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yale | 8c | 242.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yale | 6c | 222.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Yale | 26c | 214$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Texas A&M | 73c | 186.31$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.3 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Yale | 26c | 154.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yale | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Yale | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Texas A&M | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…b660backed Texas A&M | 76c | 110$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Yale | 26c | 107.69$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…2864backed Yale | 27c | 101.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Texas A&M | 75c | 101.13$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…3f08backed Yale | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Texas A&M | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yale | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Yale | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yale | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Yale | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe87f…9d9bbacked Yale | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Texas A&M | 77c | 67.68$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Texas A&M | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Texas A&M | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Texas A&M | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Texas A&M | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Texas A&M | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…a6afbacked Texas A&M | 74c | 55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Texas A&M | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Texas A&M | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Texas A&M | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed Yale | 26c | 38.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Texas A&M | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d42…f046backed Texas A&M | 75c | 30.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Texas A&M | 75c | 29.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Texas A&M | 75c | 17.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.