TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Drake vs. Missouri

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Drakeof Drake, Missouri
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$389,635
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$451,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $389,635 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Drake34c50,000$16,892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33,107.463641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Drake72c27,377$19,805 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,571.474134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Missouri38c19,184$7,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,315.093215.6%5 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.13per pick29cpaid-52.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x49d0…8503backed Drake32c6,250$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2504242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+151.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Missouri1c6,120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Missouri66c5,939$3,927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,926.839833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Missouri67c5,850$3,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,892.4753057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked Missouri68c5,583$3,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,796.624254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Missouri69c5,232$3,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,609.842770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa845…7bb6backed Missouri10c5,043$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.3742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Missouri0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Missouri23c4,370$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Missouri67c3,426$2,309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.855054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Drake29c3,345$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.7542948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Missouri66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9807337%27 W · 46 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ef4…412cbacked Drake31c2,896$898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,997.932222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Missouri69c2,522$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.2716842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Missouri67c2,229$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,488.2910335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Missouri69c2,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3804761.7%29 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Drake65c1,746$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.441735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Missouri69c1,444$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Drake39c1,391$538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.271,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Drake31c1,297$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.922676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Drake30c1,296$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$907.28644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73cb…b0d0backed Missouri68c1,166$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.9730%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Drake31c1,000$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Missouri24c983.16$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Missouri67c967.99$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.7113936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Missouri66c909$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.946440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Missouri12c888$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.561010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Drake56c859.81$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.573,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Missouri69c831$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.64831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Missouri39c680.57$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.1255657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Missouri42c629.47$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7418850%94 W · 94 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Drake32c546.64$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.275527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf6f…3173backed Missouri15c537.93$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Missouri49c530$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.17145.1%32 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Missouri44c474.57$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.8112435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Missouri66c470$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.21,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…b01fbacked Drake61c401.64$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.64250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Missouri70c400$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28057448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Missouri30c400$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12110236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Drake28c357.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.138151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Drake58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.833053.3%16 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Drake32c333$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.44250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad4f…12a3backed Missouri71c328.17$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2334369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x755c…7741backed Drake31c322.6$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.592931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Drake33c319.97$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3816445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Drake33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.034035%14 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ad1…cb3cbacked Drake33c299.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.11616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-50.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Drake31c290$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.15349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Missouri71c267.61$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1905337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b63…6c10backed Missouri10c245.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Drake30c224.29$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1578138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Missouri66c218.4$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.893652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked Missouri55c217$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.473036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x17e5…3d19backed Missouri67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1342254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4116…779dbacked Missouri48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Missouri69c173.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.999751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11fc…f8c4backed Missouri14c169.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.142227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-57.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa7f0…97bbbacked Drake44c151.02$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.241910.5%2 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-77%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Missouri32c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.53250%16 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Missouri70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a7c…f1a6backed Missouri70c142.05$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Missouri68c136$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.485570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Drake32c125$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e5e…d8e6backed Missouri51c121.96$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153b…68ddbacked Missouri16c105.6$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a84…2864backed Drake32c103.13$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.13616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-47.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Missouri45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4530139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Drake31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Missouri66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Missouri67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f5b…6759backed Missouri18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a2…0acbbacked Drake31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692231.8%7 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70e7…4420backed Missouri70c84.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.831020%2 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-65.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Drake32c84$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5724759.5%147 W · 100 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Missouri69c75$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.753993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Missouri70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Missouri71c70.42$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507860.3%47 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Drake30c70$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4944955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Missouri69c65$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.852454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Missouri71c63.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510558.1%61 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked Drake32c63.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.961546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeac7…fec6backed Missouri68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.54856.3%27 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfee4…5b91backed Drake34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.821241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Missouri67c58$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.863132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-41.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Missouri40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Missouri68c44$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9234842.8%149 W · 199 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Missouri68c40$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bc7…7ca7backed Drake70c38.54$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.541266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe520…28b0backed Drake54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041190.9%10 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick65cpaid+46%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Missouri71c35.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc25…4d73backed Drake31c32.19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.191241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f1…bb92backed Drake33c31.77$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe87f…9d9bbacked Drake32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Missouri70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.855152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Missouri70c30$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f8…1affbacked Missouri72c27.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc828…66b7backed Drake71c24.11$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.112227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.15per pick43cpaid+36.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.