College Football · resolved market
CFB: NDSU vs. Colorado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b8f35cd2131133da03747beffd120db97f6447bd362736ffd2b6cc0f147624d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Coloradoof NDSU, Colorado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed NDSU | 22c | 7,112$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.21 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Colorado | 76c | 5,159$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.75 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb866…36d4backed Colorado | 77c | 2,878$2,216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2b…8fa0backed Colorado | 77c | 2,225$1,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 60cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Colorado | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked NDSU | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked NDSU | 24c | 983.72$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.02 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Colorado | 79c | 847.9$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.11 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…c772backed NDSU | 27c | 663.88$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Colorado | 78c | 459.02$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Colorado | 76c | 450$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +988.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e9ffbacked NDSU | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Colorado | 69c | 265$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Colorado | 65c | 205.32$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Colorado | 80c | 186$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked NDSU | 21c | 170.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed NDSU | 32c | 158.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeea7…c4d0backed Colorado | 77c | 156.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.92 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5178…f7dcbacked Colorado | 77c | 155.84$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77d0…9a6ebacked Colorado | 77c | 149.03$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb1…e300backed NDSU | 25c | 143.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Colorado | 77c | 130.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…14c1backed Colorado | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…8839backed Colorado | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0a…4775backed Colorado | 79c | 126.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Colorado | 71c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48d3…34bebacked NDSU | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked NDSU | 44c | 100.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed NDSU | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked NDSU | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…6239backed NDSU | 31c | 88.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed NDSU | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bee…e0e0backed NDSU | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Colorado | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Colorado | 75c | 67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed Colorado | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed NDSU | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4c…aea8backed Colorado | 78c | 52.28$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2234…6b4dbacked NDSU | 27c | 51.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…5686backed NDSU | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…3eaabacked NDSU | 45c | 48.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Colorado | 76c | 46.15$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0513…4e8cbacked Colorado | 64c | 36.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…5acdbacked NDSU | 34c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…5260backed Colorado | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d97…d431backed Colorado | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.