NFL · resolved market
Giants vs. Commanders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08b487097d32f349beecfbd3f7bc00ef4a59d3c166e5f7c0cbf1e21db5f17af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Commandersof Giants, Commanders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $579,061
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $615,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $579,061 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2c5…79a0backed Commanders | 72c | 131,754$94,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,891.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants | 28c | 78,435$22,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,008.72 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2131…aaf2backed Commanders | 73c | 75,000$54,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,250 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Commanders | 73c | 56,071$41,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,861.47 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Giants | 17c | 55,982$9,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,304.78 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Giants | 28c | 50,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Commanders | 72c | 35,000$25,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,890 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Giants | 27c | 32,493$8,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,619.06 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Giants | 27c | 26,675$7,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,202.32 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Giants | 27c | 26,095$7,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,067.68 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b1…968abacked Giants | 29c | 20,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.97 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Giants | 29c | 18,075$5,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,248.5 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Giants | 27c | 17,680$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,773.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Giants | 29c | 14,953$4,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,336.23 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Commanders | 71c | 13,652$9,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.07 | 168 | 36.9%62 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Commanders | 73c | 13,005$9,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,527.02 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Giants | 27c | 12,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Giants | 28c | 11,040$3,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,091.2 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Giants | 28c | 10,714$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…8d8dbacked Giants | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Commanders | 71c | 8,978$6,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,578.75 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Commanders | 70c | 8,543$5,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.93 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Giants | 28c | 7,143$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Giants | 28c | 4,560$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.69 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Commanders | 71c | 3,931$2,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147.13 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Giants | 8c | 3,645$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.93 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Commanders | 71c | 3,601$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.4 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Giants | 29c | 3,294$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.17 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Giants | 28c | 3,170$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.31 | 184 | 35.9%66 W · 118 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Commanders | 70c | 3,000$2,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.27 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Giants | 29c | 2,855$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb27f…8908backed Giants | 28c | 2,686$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.05 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Giants | 28c | 2,379$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.52 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -6.5wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Commanders | 72c | 2,100$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…5c56backed Giants | 30c | 2,002$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.45 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Commanders | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc125…15fcbacked Giants | 10c | 2,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Commanders | 73c | 1,643$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.65 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Commanders | 71c | 1,642$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.24 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Giants | 27c | 1,480$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.4 | 236 | 47%111 W · 125 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 28c | 1,447$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.17 | 320 | 50.9%163 W · 157 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 13c | 1,383$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.17 | 195 | 51.3%100 W · 95 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Commanders | 71c | 1,360$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.4 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Commanders | 71c | 1,313$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.77 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67db…bd86backed Giants | 20c | 1,153$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 4cpaid | +852.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f98…fcbabacked Commanders | 72c | 1,097$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa5…64ddbacked Giants | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed Commanders | 72c | 1,039$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.89 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Giants | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 121 | 33.9%41 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Giants | 29c | 999.99$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 140 | 35%49 W · 91 L | -12.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Giants | 16c | 936.41$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.83 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x183a…d514backed Commanders | 73c | 861.58$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.63 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Commanders | 73c | 800$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd0…7b4fbacked Giants | 34c | 777$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.18 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Commanders | 80c | 708.39$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.88 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Commanders | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.23 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Giants | 3c | 687.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Giants | 27c | 539.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.75 | 106 | 29.2%31 W · 75 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Giants | 2c | 531$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Giants | 16c | 526.17$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Giants | 25c | 520.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.87 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Giants | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Giants | 18c | 443.79$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 85 | 27.1%23 W · 62 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…1c38backed Commanders | 79c | 433.86$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.11 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…dcf6backed Commanders | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…f500backed Giants | 30c | 416.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Giants | 27c | 414.85$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Commanders | 71c | 392.13$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.04 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Giants | 29c | 350$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Giants | 30c | 334$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b36…bb52backed Giants | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants | 15c | 331.96$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.89 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…d817backed Commanders | 71c | 328.17$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Giants | 11c | 307$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Commanders | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Giants | 27c | 277$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Commanders | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98b4…5d76backed Commanders | 71c | 269.7$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.45 | 254 | 53.9%137 W · 117 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb299…4a62backed Commanders | 70c | 266.12$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.67 | 375 | 56.3%211 W · 164 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Commanders | 71c | 265.74$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.74 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Giants | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Giants | 29c | 240$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Commanders | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba5…2bddbacked Commanders | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Giants | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Commanders | 75c | 200$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Commanders | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Giants | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 139 | 35.3%49 W · 90 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…0acbbacked Giants | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 284 | 33.1%94 W · 190 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Giants | 29c | 199.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 278 | 35.3%98 W · 180 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb7…ad89backed Giants | 10c | 190.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Commanders | 77c | 186.94$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6a…857abacked Commanders | 73c | 186.18$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Giants | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -77%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x248b…c6b0backed Giants | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Giants | 29c | 175$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.75 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8a…a3edbacked Giants | 29c | 172.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…a008backed Commanders | 71c | 169.01$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3f…4ceabacked Commanders | 71c | 165.41$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Commanders | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Giants vs. Commandersthis page
- Giants vs. Commanders: O/U 45.5Under won
- Spread: Commanders (-6.5)Commanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.