Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
VCU vs. BYU
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe20a9d1211b777f7bf66d64d6bf5531dfa3790e68988590ea707b1dea1c32c9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYUof VCU, BYU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $239,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked VCU | 21c | 48,915$10,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,178.71 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked VCU | 41c | 35,807$14,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,788.96 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed BYU | 67c | 29,182$19,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,722.26 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47bc…c043backed BYU | 52c | 11,509$5,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,539.86 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked BYU | 59c | 5,757$3,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,362.22 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed VCU | 41c | 5,395$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,219.79 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked BYU | 56c | 5,081$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.63 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked VCU | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1752…7993backed VCU | 1c | 4,896$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 20cpaid | +127.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed VCU | 45c | 4,398$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed BYU | 56c | 3,495$1,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.8 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed VCU | 44c | 2,995$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.87 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa845…7bb6backed BYU | 61c | 2,700$1,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed BYU | 56c | 1,935$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.53 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed BYU | 59c | 1,799$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.44 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed BYU | 69c | 1,197$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.72 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed VCU | 44c | 1,161$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.95 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed BYU | 56c | 1,022$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.84 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BYU | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked VCU | 8c | 742$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…bdf5backed VCU | 43c | 576.44$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked BYU | 57c | 555$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.65 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked VCU | 41c | 549.18$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed VCU | 44c | 540$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked VCU | 43c | 516.45$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.2 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed BYU | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed BYU | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked VCU | 32c | 300$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked VCU | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed BYU | 55c | 280$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.36 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked VCU | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed VCU | 42c | 238.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed BYU | 61c | 234.12$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked VCU | 44c | 228$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed VCU | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked VCU | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked VCU | 40c | 194.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed BYU | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed BYU | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked BYU | 51c | 146$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.54 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed VCU | 40c | 144.46$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4420backed VCU | 20c | 136.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked BYU | 59c | 115.46$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed VCU | 45c | 111.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.87 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed VCU | 40c | 100.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked VCU | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed VCU | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed BYU | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 82 | 32.9%27 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed BYU | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked BYU | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed VCU | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked BYU | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed BYU | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked VCU | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed BYU | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed BYU | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed BYU | 60c | 58$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…4d73backed VCU | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked BYU | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd8…5ddcbacked BYU | 61c | 52.85$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…a6afbacked BYU | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…1140backed VCU | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked VCU | 43c | 44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.92 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked BYU | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed BYU | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed VCU | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…f663backed VCU | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed VCU | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed VCU | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed VCU | 44c | 23.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.