Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lipscomb vs. Iowa State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7705bbb05b2343ad8181d52b3f8417bbe982ca51afc81fb5ae9bf398c759270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Stateof Lipscomb, Iowa State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Lipscomb | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Lipscomb | 10c | 3,435$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.6 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Lipscomb | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Lipscomb | 8c | 1,998$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.07 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Lipscomb | 9c | 1,596$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.68 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Lipscomb | 10c | 1,525$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Lipscomb | 9c | 1,170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.38 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Lipscomb | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Lipscomb | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Lipscomb | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Lipscomb | 10c | 946.56$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Lipscomb | 9c | 848$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Lipscomb | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Lipscomb | 10c | 619.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b57…d285backed Lipscomb | 10c | 550$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Lipscomb | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e75…0143backed Lipscomb | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -8.7wins | -0.22per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…1140backed Lipscomb | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2cd…d392backed Lipscomb | 10c | 162.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Lipscomb | 10c | 107$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Lipscomb | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb956…c475backed Lipscomb | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…aedebacked Lipscomb | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.