TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Will 3 QBs get taken in the first 3 picks of the 2025 NFL Draft?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,103,410
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,103,410 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c11,099$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5320%0 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f79…efddbacked Yes0c10,806$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc72c…1742backed Yes0c10,806$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0298…93c4backed Yes0c9,845$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.5328337.8%107 W · 176 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a42…a38fbacked Yes0c9,005$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf218…f38cbacked Yes1c9,005$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd24…811ebacked Yes0c9,005$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef2f…88bdbacked Yes1c9,005$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ac3…2e69backed Yes1c9,005$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x769b…78bfbacked Yes1c9,005$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac02…5b55backed Yes1c9,005$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…2918backed Yes1c9,005$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548c…9034backed Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1ae…4a6cbacked Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd54…ef3bbacked Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa9f…f664backed Yes0c7,204$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccfd…614ebacked Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12e…8e23backed Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78bb…6a20backed Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7173…2798backed Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2972…e027backed Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9f…a97cbacked Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9213…3198backed Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb908…6d46backed Yes0c7,204$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb41d…c67abacked Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a9…bd64backed Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa7…1d39backed Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ea5…19a2backed Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe50a…d24bbacked Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x962c…2e91backed Yes0c7,204$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61da…ed1fbacked Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78ec…de08backed Yes0c7,204$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e7d…076bbacked Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf2…0620backed Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b54…b9a5backed Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98bc…04a7backed Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bd…71cebacked Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c83…cd89backed Yes0c7,204$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.8210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeab…4c26backed Yes0c7,204$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b2c…0e38backed Yes0c7,204$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbc…410abacked Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7062…9d06backed Yes0c7,204$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb2e…b735backed Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e86…26bebacked Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7da…e7c3backed Yes0c7,204$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bee…c62ebacked Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6103…1ff1backed Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd49a…16b6backed Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x429a…0e1cbacked Yes1c7,204$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x322b…8002backed Yes0c7,204$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5c…9acdbacked Yes0c5,403$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755e…ed1dbacked Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff2c…a8b2backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa111…90d5backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ee…9d6bbacked Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f3c…2d9cbacked Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e41…f7babacked Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2168…4e39backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e74…6064backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c7…d3a6backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a35…83cebacked Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07ed…6a66backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5c1…8015backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x070d…3276backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9383…f19abacked Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4625…eb00backed Yes0c5,403$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4ae…6712backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1382…ae41backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabcc…6633backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0c2…0b87backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe40a…2f02backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0474…8837backed Yes0c5,403$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13f2…4684backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd9…8ecdbacked Yes0c5,403$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80a6…8003backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eaa…cfcfbacked Yes0c5,403$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f1d…6cc7backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x887b…5078backed Yes0c5,403$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x515a…85b0backed Yes0c5,403$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90bd…5317backed Yes0c5,403$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661e…471abacked Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9f0…70c0backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a87…d96abacked Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31cb…eb3cbacked Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc755…64d4backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6cd…fac6backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3064…0bf6backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3203…85babacked Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x321e…7e67backed Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e8…6c6bbacked Yes0c5,403$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee43…1e36backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd192…d1c7backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa0…cb8fbacked Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58c5…607fbacked Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa985…c758backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5367…a09dbacked Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd64e…c764backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0364…a845backed Yes1c5,403$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c2c…da1ebacked Yes0c5,403$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…580fbacked Yes6c4,371$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.4910434.6%36 W · 68 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.