TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

New Mexico vs. Marquette

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New Mexicoof New Mexico, Marquette
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$584,240
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$594,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $584,240 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked New Mexico38c100,000$37,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,228.253641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Marquette34c50,347$17,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,194.8318850%94 W · 94 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47bc…c043backed Marquette54c47,612$25,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,553.912634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Marquette62c31,616$19,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,613.634831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed New Mexico37c21,900$8,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,7043243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Marquette65c15,392$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0002657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00e2…d56abacked New Mexico35c12,395$4,338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,056.694254.8%23 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80a5…f9babacked Marquette26c11,529$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0008143.2%35 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed New Mexico56c11,293$6,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,980.484134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Marquette47c10,888$5,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,080.475054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Marquette62c10,343$6,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,397.037936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed New Mexico36c8,662$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,535.699833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Marquette63c5,850$3,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,685.9453057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed New Mexico47c5,535$2,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.377912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed New Mexico35c4,750$1,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,088.5941554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd181…c557backed New Mexico36c4,695$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,004.77450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…21debacked Marquette65c4,268$2,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,762.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Marquette53c4,121$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.8325043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Marquette64c3,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9206643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e3…03ccbacked Marquette65c2,890$1,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,878.4366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed New Mexico35c2,651$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,711.6116842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Marquette55c2,500$1,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3668356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa93c…17b2backed Marquette60c2,202$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.61742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Marquette62c2,198$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.0142948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3804…9912backed New Mexico50c2,005$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed New Mexico36c2,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick61cpaid+53.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed New Mexico38c1,998$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.761050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Marquette62c1,998$1,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,238.761145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Marquette56c1,978$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,109.8210335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New Mexico53c1,739$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.713,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Marquette47c1,426$673 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.7887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick55cpaid+61.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Marquette29c1,404$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.641,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Marquette44c1,163$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.484632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Marquette63c1,100$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.998232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed New Mexico78c1,026$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.642347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Marquette62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Marquette62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04a7…f4f2backed Marquette63c999.7$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x771b…932cbacked New Mexico37c999$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$629.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Marquette53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed New Mexico54c800.03$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.014450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Marquette63c793.97$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked Marquette51c789.85$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.153036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Marquette46c686.4$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf730…3de2backed Marquette56c658.73$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3671560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Marquette63c655.22$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.719641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed New Mexico39c650.31$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.311010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico35c597$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.051,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…1787backed Marquette63c435$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.0516445.1%74 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed New Mexico48c416.67$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.671752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked New Mexico49c407.84$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Marquette48c406.47$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1112435.5%44 W · 80 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed New Mexico36c400$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2566934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Marquette68c400$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.82580%20 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe08d…d5d4backed Marquette63c400$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked New Mexico40c377.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.52030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70e7…4420backed Marquette65c329.2$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.981020%2 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-65.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked New Mexico35c309.81$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.376440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Marquette65c307.69$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37b…3802backed Marquette64c304.69$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951650%8 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+60.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Marquette56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16860551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Marquette65c294.54$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.452657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9448…be98backed Marquette60c292.44$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1751764.7%11 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Marquette43c289.43$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1252927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked New Mexico36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.784035%14 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked New Mexico38c265.88$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.668151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x755c…7741backed New Mexico38c263.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.172931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…8f26backed New Mexico40c250.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.181936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x62b2…85d5backed New Mexico36c250$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1601631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Marquette63c249.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.4957448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Marquette59c237.29$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1403053.3%16 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe5c5…227dbacked Marquette64c215.12$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.682356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed New Mexico37c199.98$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.999839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Marquette63c196.73$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.942568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa9ce…d77dbacked Marquette63c177.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed New Mexico72c175.6$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.081770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3533…6741backed Marquette63c175.1$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Marquette12c167.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Marquette62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Marquette62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Marquette62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009639.6%38 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dba…c816backed Marquette65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-4.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Marquette21c140$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9344955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Marquette58c129.49$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$757860.3%47 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f36…2305backed Marquette65c123.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Marquette63c120.63$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2fd3…7214backed Marquette31c120.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.621625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7941…c675backed Marquette43c118.04$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35955.9%33 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Marquette65c116.69$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.673652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed New Mexico36c115.01$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.15152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b69…e32abacked New Mexico35c105$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.95933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Marquette62c100.1$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0630649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Marquette65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Marquette63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6330139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Marquette61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e7f…1bd6backed New Mexico35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$652055%11 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+46.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Marquette50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Marquette30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x482a…7defbacked Marquette55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.992429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad4f…12a3backed Marquette62c96.77$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604369.8%30 W · 13 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.