College Football · resolved market
Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e928e855e0f13ba10423fc32ffbb7d633a28af98162d91b7e3f23f41184083c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $889,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $718,817
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $889,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc47b…d74fbacked Yes | 3c | 66,787$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 2c | 58,968$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.5 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 4c | 48,230$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.36 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 0c | 35,847$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 33,077$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.39 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 5c | 25,006$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 3c | 20,604$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.02 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 4c | 11,789$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.52 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x060a…f657backed Yes | 3c | 10,936$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239a…76e5backed Yes | 2c | 7,805$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 3c | 7,227$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.73 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…a8b3backed Yes | 3c | 6,061$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 3c | 5,266$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 3c | 5,140$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 3c | 4,953$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e61…9860backed Yes | 3c | 4,500$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 4,306$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.24 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 4,182$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…3365backed Yes | 1c | 4,157$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Yes | 4c | 3,901$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…82fbbacked Yes | 7c | 3,787$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 3,715$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.9 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 3,223$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…21a2backed Yes | 3c | 3,112$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 5c | 2,779$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 3c | 2,520$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.12 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03da…7907backed Yes | 7c | 2,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 4c | 2,389$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 203 | 41.9%85 W · 118 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…8d67backed Yes | 4c | 2,134$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x340f…3cf5backed Yes | 5c | 2,042$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9c…1f9dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,500$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,286$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 5c | 1,250$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…60c8backed Yes | 4c | 1,144$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80de…ef85backed Yes | 6c | 1,134$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 1,060$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…61abbacked Yes | 3c | 1,035$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 2c | 1,028$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…704cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,020$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…ed09backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 3c | 802.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec6f…928fbacked Yes | 3c | 786.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0143…8fecbacked Yes | 2c | 770$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x100c…cb81backed Yes | 4c | 750.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c4…d1c7backed Yes | 5c | 627$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…bf60backed Yes | 6c | 617.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Yes | 6c | 612.83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b1…0f2cbacked Yes | 3c | 601.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86e…cf24backed Yes | 3c | 600$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 4c | 577.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 3c | 553.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 3c | 500.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Yes | 3c | 500$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Yes | 3c | 491.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…e531backed Yes | 3c | 480$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…3ce8backed Yes | 4c | 467.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…2ab8backed Yes | 4c | 466.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 5c | 425.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Yes | 5c | 419$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 6c | 410$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb785…d1c7backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ec…e5f5backed Yes | 3c | 352$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…aee3backed Yes | 7c | 343$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…0596backed Yes | 4c | 315.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…915abacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e004backed Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x756d…a4e1backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x364d…35d8backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Yes | 4c | 297.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 4c | 248.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a7…d21abacked Yes | 5c | 222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de5…cc5abacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd387…cb91backed Yes | 7c | 180.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.