TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,158,919
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,082,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,158,919 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 225 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c500,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c257,562$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.15120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c236,784$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.11910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a37…91aabacked Yes0c79,239$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf084…11cdbacked Yes0c78,717$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.1520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…4659backed Yes0c72,696$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.0980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4df…ce07backed Yes0c71,676$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.0370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02a…3019backed Yes0c62,818$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d88…5587backed Yes0c62,308$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f46…2d83backed Yes0c62,308$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d3…f13abacked Yes0c60,440$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8ff…e655backed Yes0c60,307$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7360…de14backed Yes0c60,307$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90c7…0779backed Yes0c60,165$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.4980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x63d1…8802backed Yes0c58,905$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x412b…e030backed Yes0c57,987$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61f…9c8abacked Yes0c57,889$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf484…3106backed Yes0c56,905$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6473…f63fbacked Yes0c56,905$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd52…1889backed Yes0c56,905$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75dd…bb69backed Yes0c56,905$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc9…6706backed Yes0c56,905$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5551…e872backed Yes0c56,905$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd40…6b92backed Yes0c56,905$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f5a…9e5bbacked Yes0c56,905$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed13…5cd5backed Yes0c56,905$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734b…419bbacked Yes0c56,678$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4421…8332backed Yes0c56,382$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1542…dce1backed Yes0c55,503$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8b…f613backed Yes0c55,437$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.3180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…9051backed Yes0c53,829$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.49100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d6…dca2backed Yes0c53,804$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.6120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a5e…1b12backed Yes0c52,950$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x386d…dc79backed Yes0c51,547$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…e3f0backed Yes0c51,534$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da9…319bbacked Yes0c51,534$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c51,000$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc7e…e205backed Yes0c49,533$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c48,000$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ef…4247backed Yes0c46,900$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fd…5bbcbacked Yes0c46,654$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.9670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d86…466bbacked Yes0c46,036$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8841…93c1backed Yes0c45,578$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c45,470$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.19390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…9a92backed Yes0c44,196$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9126…de59backed Yes0c43,075$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7297…2587backed Yes0c42,936$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6434…09a7backed Yes0c42,704$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd117…2c70backed Yes0c42,213$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9fa…0371backed Yes0c42,000$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232e…1d44backed Yes0c41,905$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a03…4bccbacked Yes0c41,259$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.7870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191c…4eccbacked Yes0c41,204$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.6150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df1…bf04backed Yes0c40,175$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb0…2732backed Yes0c39,178$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b86…bdf6backed Yes0c38,256$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8e…30fdbacked Yes0c37,109$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…68ffbacked Yes0c36,350$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.0580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabca…6cf8backed Yes0c35,670$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee0…95a3backed Yes0c34,626$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.8880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e9e…fff1backed Yes0c34,505$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.0150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52bd…e647backed Yes0c33,381$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b0…32dbbacked Yes0c33,367$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…3411backed Yes0c32,974$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8619…d569backed Yes0c32,770$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba4…c6cbbacked Yes0c32,769$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8901…21d0backed Yes0c31,784$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…e298backed Yes0c31,743$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…0521backed Yes0c31,490$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5f9…de78backed Yes0c31,417$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b5…11b7backed Yes0c31,114$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b38…a8eabacked Yes0c30,899$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abd…7525backed Yes0c30,764$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa431…2b0ebacked Yes0c30,261$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f52…b0e0backed Yes0c29,637$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.9150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa725…3795backed Yes0c28,873$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd0…76bebacked Yes0c27,561$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.6870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd541…4cb4backed Yes0c27,400$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5520…63e5backed Yes0c27,010$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f9c…6661backed Yes0c26,732$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858f…5cd1backed Yes0c26,571$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc4…9d93backed Yes0c26,523$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d0…bee6backed Yes0c26,452$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4868…6484backed Yes0c25,831$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.4970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7411…5e13backed Yes0c25,201$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…1c6bbacked Yes0c24,860$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a4…7a79backed Yes0c24,539$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfb…9d58backed Yes0c24,517$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58af…7a2bbacked Yes0c24,467$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2805…67cdbacked Yes0c24,440$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.3280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f4…8ca8backed Yes0c23,113$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1708…0faebacked Yes0c22,855$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67a…358abacked Yes0c22,821$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb61…b6dabacked Yes0c22,676$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.0380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e16…d9b8backed Yes0c22,386$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a0…3464backed Yes0c22,385$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.1570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd569…6ad7backed Yes0c22,071$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c3…155ebacked Yes0c21,865$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a5f…e4dabacked Yes0c21,789$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.