College Football · resolved market
Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffdac560d86877634249a40744ed53a0758712439fe2a2d20b3cb18d178a9673
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,247,610
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $914,879
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,247,610 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 23c | 225,982$51,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,677.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 23c | 75,906$17,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,777.11 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a0…3658backed Yes | 12c | 57,000$7,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,068 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 48,220$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 2c | 30,947$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.18 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 76c | 30,300$23,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,261.15 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 7c | 26,568$1,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,887.07 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4451…c6afbacked Yes | 2c | 23,170$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed No | 77c | 22,299$17,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,197.33 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc200…3c75backed Yes | 22c | 19,800$4,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…3614backed Yes | 7c | 18,673$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 14c | 15,000$2,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,162.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66af…d58ebacked Yes | 15c | 14,413$2,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.62 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 9c | 11,490$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.44 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 22c | 10,687$2,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,403.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed No | 77c | 10,000$7,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 9c | 9,483$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.66 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 13c | 8,860$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.01 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 76c | 8,743$6,639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.54 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -94.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 8,169$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.9 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 7,926$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.53 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Yes | 20c | 6,820$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.42 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 16c | 6,198$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005.19 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Yes | 3c | 5,386$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.17 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 15c | 5,037$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.72 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed No | 76c | 4,628$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.35 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Yes | 25c | 4,590$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.61 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 15c | 4,521$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50c0…494fbacked Yes | 23c | 4,330$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24e…9441backed Yes | 26c | 3,894$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 3,660$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.95 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed No | 78c | 3,650$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 3,513$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.19 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Yes | 2c | 3,425$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3e…2360backed Yes | 2c | 3,125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 21c | 3,075$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662e…f342backed Yes | 19c | 2,600$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 4c | 2,500$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 11c | 2,341$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.79 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd956…ea37backed Yes | 10c | 2,305$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.03 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes | 9c | 2,179$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb481…bb2cbacked Yes | 24c | 2,177$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…dfc0backed Yes | 23c | 2,166$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8272…541dbacked Yes | 4c | 2,105$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…8278backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39ae…0268backed Yes | 21c | 1,866$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 22c | 1,838$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.27 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 4c | 1,783$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 22c | 1,752$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 11c | 1,689$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.13 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed No | 79c | 1,680$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085a…bfbdbacked Yes | 25c | 1,672$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…3365backed Yes | 7c | 1,668$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked No | 72c | 1,571$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.02 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 9c | 1,568$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.85 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,552$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.17 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yes | 13c | 1,546$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.78 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f3…bfc1backed Yes | 1c | 1,428$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 13c | 1,423$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…34a8backed Yes | 22c | 1,372$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…57edbacked Yes | 15c | 1,358$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.63 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 6c | 1,343$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067a…cee0backed Yes | 12c | 1,295$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0838…5171backed Yes | 3c | 1,292$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…8dd3backed Yes | 3c | 1,209$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Yes | 9c | 1,200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked Yes | 2c | 1,188$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Yes | 3c | 1,188$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc0…e315backed Yes | 23c | 1,064$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Yes | 10c | 1,050$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…113ebacked Yes | 12c | 1,039$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…9fb2backed Yes | 5c | 1,033$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe380…d91bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,032$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…8ad9backed Yes | 23c | 1,010$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35b…fc08backed Yes | 22c | 1,005$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…dbadbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.85 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 23c | 1,000$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.53 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…0905backed Yes | 20c | 900.36$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14dd…13eebacked Yes | 16c | 846.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 21c | 839.94$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Yes | 15c | 683.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Yes | 16c | 674.66$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.27 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes | 4c | 671.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…e928backed Yes | 23c | 655.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 4c | 650$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…3541backed Yes | 18c | 627.78$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba0…f472backed Yes | 7c | 604.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x876d…5238backed Yes | 12c | 600$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 10c | 599.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33df…d8e0backed Yes | 18c | 558.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71a4…06f0backed No | 78c | 522.6$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 63c | 500$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 19c | 500$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4814…1968backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…b169backed Yes | 21c | 491.49$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…bca9backed Yes | 10c | 454.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…0c2fbacked Yes | 22c | 446.36$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 16c | 443.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 23c | 441.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.