TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,659,805
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$667,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,659,805 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 359 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c300,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c177,469$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.621910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x704d…2010backed Yes0c107,288$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.8670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d0…d173backed Yes0c102,127$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.3870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c76,245$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.49170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c69,364$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.73120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e0…99dbbacked Yes0c64,087$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.2680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…a0dbbacked Yes0c63,568$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x499a…3c6abacked Yes0c60,922$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.7660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca2…ea0ebacked Yes0c58,969$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98dd…dbdbbacked Yes0c56,436$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.3170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ea…d6b6backed Yes0c55,517$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.5570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02c…72f7backed Yes0c55,428$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.2880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f5c…74babacked Yes0c53,949$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11dd…a34bbacked Yes0c52,511$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2206…2730backed Yes0c51,118$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.3570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5440…c83abacked Yes0c50,987$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.9680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8645…96b8backed Yes0c50,424$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…f818backed Yes0c49,661$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.9880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e89…b362backed Yes0c48,218$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.6580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe934…f813backed Yes0c47,616$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.8570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b62…29c5backed Yes0c46,688$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.0680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…ea56backed Yes0c46,539$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b0b…5c1dbacked Yes0c46,168$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227b…d86fbacked Yes0c46,081$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.2470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e85…bb19backed Yes0c44,233$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8d…b056backed Yes0c44,004$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.0180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0953…7f89backed Yes0c43,986$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.9670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001f…f36ebacked Yes0c43,680$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…5a2abacked Yes0c43,629$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.8960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c4…da18backed Yes0c42,371$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.1170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e8…cad4backed Yes0c42,204$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.6160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bc…9289backed Yes0c42,041$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.1280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb8…b438backed Yes0c41,802$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.4180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b59…856dbacked Yes0c41,481$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1e…c82bbacked Yes0c41,050$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.1570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba4d…fb8cbacked Yes0c40,911$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.7370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec4…6cdfbacked Yes0c40,669$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7dc…bd37backed Yes0c40,535$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.6170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bb…4d9bbacked Yes0c40,185$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.5670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6e…fd01backed Yes0c39,976$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8db…7d35backed Yes0c39,912$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.7450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cdd…53cbbacked Yes0c39,787$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.3670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe70e…760ebacked Yes0c39,699$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6380…500cbacked Yes0c39,047$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.1470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0961…238dbacked Yes0c38,786$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.3670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc4d…3831backed Yes0c38,423$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f55…3296backed Yes0c38,274$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.8270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ba4…c837backed Yes0c37,313$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.9480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9910…122abacked Yes0c37,176$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7c…316bbacked Yes0c37,164$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.4980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…aa22backed Yes0c36,588$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19c…7146backed Yes0c35,962$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a2…c77cbacked Yes0c35,952$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb2…fe70backed Yes0c35,851$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe017…dbacbacked Yes0c35,791$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7084backed Yes0c35,417$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.2570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf349…d23ebacked Yes0c35,237$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbb…b31dbacked Yes0c34,714$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1430%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531b…413ebacked Yes0c34,708$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.1270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf14…3105backed Yes0c34,654$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbed…3acbbacked Yes0c34,498$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.4960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4962…deb3backed Yes0c34,264$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x421e…1721backed Yes0c33,992$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00de…19f5backed Yes0c33,949$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d9…1c2bbacked Yes0c33,871$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1964…ab5fbacked Yes0c33,840$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.5270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…7ea1backed Yes0c33,289$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45d5…e06cbacked Yes0c33,195$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f81…6557backed Yes0c33,079$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75b1…0381backed Yes0c32,822$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f89…46d7backed Yes0c32,302$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c31,966$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.63402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d3…f13abacked Yes0c31,926$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcffd…50bfbacked Yes0c31,731$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ec…1ce4backed Yes0c31,573$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3539…c91bbacked Yes0c31,548$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644f…e44fbacked Yes0c31,528$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…6866backed Yes0c31,518$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.5580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb1c…bcddbacked Yes0c31,044$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.1360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…89b0backed Yes0c31,013$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.0480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…20d9backed Yes0c30,813$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.4460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ec4…a478backed Yes0c30,751$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610d…3eefbacked Yes0c30,735$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc014…de91backed Yes0c30,674$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.0270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a4…c298backed Yes0c30,293$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33aa…6c14backed Yes0c30,019$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f26…3d93backed Yes0c29,978$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…e60cbacked Yes0c29,969$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0168…0941backed Yes0c29,903$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7140%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7319…9d4cbacked Yes0c29,803$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0f8…7659backed Yes0c29,736$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa850…b473backed Yes0c29,551$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…f70bbacked Yes0c29,544$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.6340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1737…ad9ebacked Yes0c29,389$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c73…eef9backed Yes0c29,245$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d75…be74backed Yes0c29,228$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…398ebacked Yes0c29,162$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b8…1f90backed Yes0c29,076$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e62…89ddbacked Yes0c28,996$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.