TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,151,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,128,714

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,151,637 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 615 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c600,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c180,190$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.391910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c144,565$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.44120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c117,328$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.22402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c90,663$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.99130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c88,724$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.25170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…9051backed Yes0c65,681$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.04100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e0…99dbbacked Yes0c57,295$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.8980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2ec…1ce4backed Yes0c52,235$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x704d…2010backed Yes0c49,906$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ca2…ea0ebacked Yes0c48,854$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.5670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089b…89b0backed Yes0c48,647$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7084backed Yes0c48,052$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.1670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f81…6557backed Yes0c47,224$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.6770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c46,201$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2083…2e65backed Yes0c44,952$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98dd…dbdbbacked Yes0c44,867$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…124fbacked Yes0c43,217$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36db…b6ffbacked Yes0c43,006$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.0290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cba…78b6backed Yes0c41,397$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb987…80c3backed Yes0c40,843$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.5360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7319…9d4cbacked Yes0c40,745$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.2470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bb8…9e6fbacked Yes0c39,596$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.7970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafc…705bbacked Yes0c39,457$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb0…2732backed Yes0c39,178$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bc…9289backed Yes0c39,120$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0953…7f89backed Yes0c37,902$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.7170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1737…ad9ebacked Yes0c37,272$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.8280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e89…b362backed Yes0c37,261$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.7880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x901f…9ef1backed Yes0c36,614$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cdd…53cbbacked Yes0c35,946$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8c06backed Yes0c35,605$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8d…b056backed Yes0c34,545$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.6380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc6…1c6bbacked Yes0c34,200$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2206…2730backed Yes0c34,195$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.5870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x187d…48a9backed Yes0c34,130$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.3950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a03…4bccbacked Yes0c33,631$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2f…a9febacked Yes0c33,078$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5520…63e5backed Yes0c32,992$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ec…69d7backed Yes0c32,896$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7c…316bbacked Yes0c32,890$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.6780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1e…c82bbacked Yes0c32,683$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…a0dbbacked Yes0c32,622$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…aa22backed Yes0c32,605$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8260%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c9…a3c5backed Yes0c32,603$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3e8…cad4backed Yes0c32,502$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b29…949dbacked Yes0c32,315$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62de…17ccbacked Yes0c32,145$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…20d9backed Yes0c32,080$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e16…d9b8backed Yes0c31,965$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232e…1d44backed Yes0c31,833$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a92…4948backed Yes0c31,790$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9a1…5c3fbacked Yes0c31,440$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…3baebacked Yes0c31,218$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d0…d173backed Yes0c31,179$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.5470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75a4…95fdbacked Yes0c31,065$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.240%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aef…7a48backed Yes0c30,783$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.3580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c4…da18backed Yes0c30,536$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.6170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b1d…0c25backed Yes0c30,412$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6356…1885backed Yes0c30,063$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.411010%1 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-87.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff7…94fbbacked Yes0c30,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0e…3a46backed Yes0c29,997$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9940%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479c…66bebacked Yes0c29,923$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7740%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f55…3296backed Yes0c29,900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3baa…0f16backed Yes0c29,812$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.4370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a2…c77cbacked Yes0c29,791$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfbf…8875backed Yes0c29,722$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.1690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…4f5bbacked Yes0c29,583$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b62…29c5backed Yes0c29,413$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.2480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee3…e262backed Yes0c29,108$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.3270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8645…96b8backed Yes0c29,093$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.2870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7dc…bd37backed Yes0c29,060$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.1870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58af…7a2bbacked Yes0c28,936$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5e…1b16backed Yes0c28,876$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa850…b473backed Yes0c28,727$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a4d…4cb0backed Yes0c28,635$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd947…863ebacked Yes0c28,445$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c2…afbcbacked Yes0c28,405$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.2230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…7ea1backed Yes0c28,277$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…5a2abacked Yes0c28,015$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.0460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…f818backed Yes0c27,985$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1e…614bbacked Yes0c27,885$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.6680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…f8d4backed Yes0c27,738$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.2270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e85…bb19backed Yes0c27,646$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e9…dd95backed Yes0c27,643$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd25…3447backed Yes0c27,521$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.5670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6e…fd01backed Yes0c27,487$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6760…a230backed Yes0c27,483$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec4…6cdfbacked Yes0c27,268$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d9…1c2bbacked Yes0c27,217$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…398ebacked Yes0c27,216$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4165…457ebacked Yes0c27,174$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c5…d271backed Yes0c27,010$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.0340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x837e…9ec6backed Yes0c26,932$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11dd…a34bbacked Yes0c26,930$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9910…122abacked Yes0c26,661$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb2…fe70backed Yes0c26,597$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bb…4d9bbacked Yes0c26,521$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df1…bf04backed Yes0c26,509$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d29…722cbacked Yes0c26,485$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.