College Football · resolved market
Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x10800ac0e5fa7e46cd88d7ed1a48df7a73ae63b5bfbf98c8ee8927014782fe82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $304,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $154,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $304,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe639…9122backed Yes | 20c | 34,220$6,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,974.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0997…c238backed Yes | 8c | 28,456$2,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 17c | 21,627$3,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,628.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…3614backed Yes | 19c | 20,977$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,970.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c9cdbacked Yes | 19c | 11,978$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,273.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…9848backed Yes | 21c | 10,171$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 10c | 8,823$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.88 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ca…84acbacked Yes | 11c | 7,762$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.33 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 2c | 4,395$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…47afbacked Yes | 15c | 4,137$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc40e…e0b6backed Yes | 19c | 4,094$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.58 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 16c | 4,001$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.64 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…cd72backed Yes | 16c | 3,307$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4816…e928backed Yes | 7c | 3,273$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cf…0e71backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.95 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 21c | 2,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08d6…b079backed Yes | 17c | 2,265$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 20c | 2,007$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.51 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…cc1bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,793$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 19c | 1,729$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x283c…a68fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,562$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Yes | 7c | 1,315$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.07 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e9…67c6backed Yes | 11c | 1,226$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 17c | 1,100$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 18c | 1,097$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.47 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…5cfabacked Yes | 17c | 1,029$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Yes | 18c | 1,000$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.8wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 18c | 968.82$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…513ebacked Yes | 7c | 960.21$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa4…9f7abacked Yes | 21c | 921.74$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 5c | 890$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 18c | 874.16$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 17c | 799.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec2f…136fbacked Yes | 18c | 781.79$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5c…c842backed Yes | 13c | 752.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5aa…b6f8backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…cbe3backed Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…fe5dbacked Yes | 12c | 650$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…bdf7backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x471f…fd87backed Yes | 19c | 579$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd716…bf4fbacked Yes | 19c | 551.11$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…c903backed Yes | 21c | 545.14$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Yes | 19c | 524.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 57%73 W · 55 L | +9.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…ee4cbacked Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc86…3ecdbacked Yes | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…d16fbacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…ed09backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…9748backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…8a37backed Yes | 3c | 438.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4a…2553backed Yes | 18c | 435$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 16c | 411.03$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 18c | 399.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…87b7backed Yes | 14c | 369.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4746…428cbacked Yes | 14c | 361.68$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…739bbacked Yes | 13c | 360$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0b…04fcbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +273.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbae…9395backed Yes | 19c | 300$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cec…1e3dbacked Yes | 18c | 276.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…2354backed Yes | 19c | 259.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb579…f458backed Yes | 23c | 256.39$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 41.3%52 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf568…cc37backed Yes | 16c | 253.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…78e7backed Yes | 20c | 252.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd0…6514backed Yes | 16c | 250$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf445…0828backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5c…cddcbacked Yes | 16c | 212.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…6389backed Yes | 17c | 200.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…3a25backed Yes | 14c | 192.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 6c | 182.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbd…3c7abacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb818…bc56backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…d4d5backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 27cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08f5…f630backed Yes | 19c | 160.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a4…c235backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…d9a9backed Yes | 16c | 156.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c4…1810backed Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d597backed Yes | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3200…d8c8backed Yes | 19c | 145.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.7 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3744…6ac6backed Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 19c | 133.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…69b8backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bd2…6f7cbacked Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…8acbbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…0ae6backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad5…08a7backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413b…fb4bbacked Yes | 18c | 124.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…66e8backed Yes | 19c | 119.97$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 14c | 116.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edd…0bf2backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +200.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2e…182dbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 16c | 111.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb47…9bb4backed Yes | 19c | 109.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.