TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,802,231
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,230,849

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,802,231 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c500,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c494,312$1,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,637.9860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c286,239$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.491910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26ae…50e2backed Yes2c101,440$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,537.02616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-70.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c63,383$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.36170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c35,015$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.04130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c25,807$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.38390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c24,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes2c23,555$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.372313%3 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid-21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bee…9051backed Yes0c19,624$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.87100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7297…2587backed Yes0c17,320$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.9690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644f…e44fbacked Yes0c17,177$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66a8…9191backed Yes0c16,145$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2385…76ecbacked Yes0c15,513$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.5480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc649…2291backed Yes0c15,484$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ca…b2babacked Yes0c15,274$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.82100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes2c15,128$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.135131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7e…1b37backed Yes0c15,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60f…b229backed Yes0c14,868$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…124fbacked Yes0c14,850$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b67…438ebacked Yes0c14,730$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe017…dbacbacked Yes0c14,623$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a2…c77cbacked Yes0c14,120$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7861…4d82backed Yes0c13,835$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.5180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb72…80dfbacked Yes0c13,812$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.44100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c9…a3c5backed Yes0c13,735$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc4…9d93backed Yes0c13,700$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…3411backed Yes0c13,696$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2351…1696backed Yes0c13,650$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf415…f438backed Yes0c13,465$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8937…5dfdbacked Yes0c13,012$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6c9…35a8backed Yes0c12,745$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.2490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9a…1caebacked Yes0c12,715$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df1…bf04backed Yes0c12,715$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…ea56backed Yes0c12,437$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9736…0aadbacked Yes0c12,436$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…5a2abacked Yes0c12,348$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.0460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bc…9289backed Yes0c12,290$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36db…b6ffbacked Yes0c11,944$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8390%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec4…6cdfbacked Yes0c11,842$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd644…6f80backed Yes0c11,446$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d0…bee6backed Yes0c11,363$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a2e…45f4backed Yes0c11,251$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbd6…3723backed Yes0c11,236$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa9…d33abacked Yes0c11,108$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ba…1969backed Yes0c11,005$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18e…dcccbacked Yes0c10,901$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ce3…4793backed Yes0c10,752$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443a…0589backed Yes0c10,673$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…a0dbbacked Yes0c10,654$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc1e…c82bbacked Yes0c10,483$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…0498backed Yes0c10,380$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…7ea1backed Yes0c10,269$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…f8d4backed Yes0c10,185$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aef…7a48backed Yes0c10,178$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc74c…864fbacked Yes0c10,022$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c5…90d2backed Yes0c10,014$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e9e…fff1backed Yes0c10,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee30…03acbacked Yes0c9,934$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde6e…e60cbacked Yes0c9,896$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x835c…8731backed Yes0c9,855$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes0c9,716$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.431915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-65.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd947…863ebacked Yes0c9,707$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1e…614bbacked Yes0c9,574$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b29…949dbacked Yes0c9,521$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc67a…358abacked Yes0c9,482$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf3c…7e98backed Yes0c9,389$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdb8…b438backed Yes0c9,356$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11dd…a34bbacked Yes0c9,214$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes2c9,172$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.163511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x590a…12babacked Yes0c9,141$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bc…3b27backed Yes0c9,040$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.12100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…55c7backed Yes0c9,019$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c32…c9f7backed Yes0c9,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e83…db16backed Yes0c8,610$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.83100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb6…45f5backed Yes0c8,596$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.7980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbafc…705bbacked Yes0c8,570$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x516a…6abbbacked Yes0c8,222$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.67100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0990…8a5fbacked Yes0c8,118$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2279…460bbacked Yes0c7,898$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2d…ed09backed Yes0c7,638$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.91100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes0c7,583$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a86…1e4fbacked Yes0c7,428$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34ff…fb5abacked Yes0c7,427$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7c…316bbacked Yes0c7,402$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55a7…84e8backed Yes0c7,395$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.19100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb987…80c3backed Yes0c7,342$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5577…6e5ebacked Yes0c7,233$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e0…99dbbacked Yes0c7,218$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.6580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d9a…393ebacked Yes0c7,121$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.36100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b3a…d848backed Yes0c7,117$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d5a…6367backed Yes0c7,055$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd569…6ad7backed Yes0c7,038$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes2c7,015$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.79210%0 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…1721backed Yes0c6,950$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02c…72f7backed Yes0c6,940$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…398ebacked Yes0c6,881$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fe7…2669backed Yes0c6,861$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa850…b473backed Yes0c6,797$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8d…b056backed Yes0c6,792$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.