TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,644,160
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,902,681

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,644,160 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 416 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c300,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bba…9b86backed Yes0c267,000$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.4860%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b65…c4b2backed Yes0c176,393$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c175,758$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.371910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f2e…2318backed Yes0c89,874$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d04…8e9abacked Yes0c88,770$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ce9…d4b2backed Yes0c88,669$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb175…f498backed Yes0c88,627$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed4…433cbacked Yes0c87,959$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89e4…dea5backed Yes0c87,868$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa81a…82dabacked Yes0c87,866$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc18a…45dcbacked Yes0c87,686$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4b…6eefbacked Yes0c87,542$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.1710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe21b…0b26backed Yes0c87,061$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fac…4309backed Yes0c86,843$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf89e…361abacked Yes0c86,820$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7964…9c14backed Yes0c86,741$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1481…022cbacked Yes0c86,718$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040e…d9f1backed Yes0c86,623$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd71f…ad2bbacked Yes0c86,100$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e24…51d6backed Yes0c85,716$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad59…31d5backed Yes0c85,664$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe666…422fbacked Yes0c85,661$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe36…b916backed Yes0c85,576$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2dc…b925backed Yes0c85,568$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x961a…3cc3backed Yes0c85,395$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d80…9b33backed Yes0c85,326$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe46e…c539backed Yes0c85,277$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc15d…ae5bbacked Yes0c85,067$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.2710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1bb…4d01backed Yes0c84,913$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2417…62bdbacked Yes0c84,092$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8e0…4068backed Yes0c84,078$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.3110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc669…0b3fbacked Yes0c84,008$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0987…33fdbacked Yes0c84,000$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd0…8d96backed Yes0c83,986$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfebc…b157backed Yes0c83,904$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc74…3d98backed Yes0c83,883$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x548f…6c5abacked Yes0c83,840$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb6d…4d8dbacked Yes0c83,790$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb867…7ca4backed Yes0c83,753$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf795…2f06backed Yes0c83,731$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d0…6fa1backed Yes0c83,661$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc83…f809backed Yes0c83,655$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc1…f860backed Yes0c83,162$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5875…b7c9backed Yes0c83,059$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6be…1eefbacked Yes0c83,008$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08cc…541bbacked Yes0c82,982$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99fe…c088backed Yes0c82,910$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8926…69efbacked Yes0c82,868$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.4710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x635e…586bbacked Yes0c82,758$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5f7…80e0backed Yes0c82,745$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9af…c3d9backed Yes0c82,598$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e9d…abc1backed Yes0c82,592$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ee5…e319backed Yes0c82,582$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba1a…7b23backed Yes0c82,253$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74e4…d0f7backed Yes0c82,027$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x004d…6900backed Yes0c82,019$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f23…4756backed Yes0c81,990$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbad…79afbacked Yes0c81,964$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.8610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fe0…212fbacked Yes0c81,896$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e6d…8e81backed Yes0c81,697$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f6c…d54ebacked Yes0c81,681$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.7210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa917…71ecbacked Yes0c81,658$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa129…0473backed Yes0c81,519$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea49…2ab2backed Yes0c81,417$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5805…76fbbacked Yes0c80,940$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.7610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf74f…6f3dbacked Yes0c80,921$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa168…39e9backed Yes0c80,859$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0aaf…ed4cbacked Yes0c80,801$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9136…e5e6backed Yes0c80,383$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3053…04edbacked Yes0c80,270$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.0810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb333…c657backed Yes0c80,115$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcd2…59a5backed Yes0c79,508$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.0310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde73…bf9abacked Yes0c79,031$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8e…94f5backed Yes0c78,974$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8553…420cbacked Yes0c78,861$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ae9…870abacked Yes0c78,834$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.3410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa133…9e34backed Yes0c78,760$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcafc…bfa3backed Yes0c78,655$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.6210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8f4…ee6cbacked Yes0c78,506$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bc…eca0backed Yes0c78,360$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1c9…94a3backed Yes0c78,259$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.0410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6792…2fa1backed Yes0c77,933$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbbe4…22e7backed Yes0c77,901$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5e9…e441backed Yes0c77,853$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd495…7f53backed Yes0c77,852$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.4110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabc7…2abbbacked Yes0c77,742$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a0e…39bebacked Yes0c77,446$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd32…0904backed Yes0c77,422$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.6910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24de…0c20backed Yes0c77,322$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.2910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a1b…9ae9backed Yes0c77,196$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaab…803abacked Yes0c77,159$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…3ce0backed Yes0c77,069$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.2810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…462fbacked Yes0c77,023$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.0910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4a9…58debacked Yes0c76,809$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce9…63e9backed Yes0c76,678$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd819…3059backed Yes0c76,530$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdea2…a263backed Yes0c76,391$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e42…98b3backed Yes0c76,380$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d9…2f73backed Yes0c76,196$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.7810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.