College Football · resolved market
Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b182b7173e44f239239140b81c4ed5a7a424323532d0e6ab868d3497cd6fecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $807,974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $689,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $807,974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd43…d19cbacked Yes | 14c | 56,000$7,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…3614backed Yes | 4c | 24,335$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 6c | 20,292$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,313.86 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 1c | 16,202$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 4c | 15,998$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.83 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…eb38backed Yes | 5c | 13,985$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 14c | 11,589$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.17 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 10c | 8,652$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 16c | 7,962$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.84 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacee…7eb7backed Yes | 6c | 7,725$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 5c | 7,347$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.58 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea6…6d01backed Yes | 6c | 7,305$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 6c | 6,704$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.51 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…0596backed Yes | 7c | 6,012$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.95 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 11c | 5,985$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.4 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Yes | 6c | 5,907$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.25 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 3c | 5,526$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…cd72backed Yes | 9c | 5,524$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 12c | 5,288$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.59 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 11c | 5,215$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.32 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 4c | 5,008$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…c903backed Yes | 7c | 4,974$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 7c | 4,700$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.48 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1200…a33cbacked Yes | 11c | 3,996$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52f6…3aedbacked Yes | 9c | 3,534$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…f73ebacked Yes | 11c | 3,500$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.95 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 3,334$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 12c | 3,147$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 5c | 2,703$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.67 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 15c | 2,453$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.64 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dd…eb02backed Yes | 6c | 2,080$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Yes | 13c | 2,047$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.25 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…bdf7backed Yes | 14c | 2,001$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.1 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 13c | 1,870$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.06 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 14c | 1,796$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 15c | 1,591$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 12c | 1,491$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.13 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,339$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 3c | 1,294$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 10c | 1,273$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.56 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Yes | 6c | 1,247$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…5acabacked Yes | 4c | 1,095$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 13c | 1,000$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.5 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 5c | 978.59$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…1b55backed Yes | 4c | 800.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…5459backed Yes | 5c | 800$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e6…15debacked Yes | 7c | 724.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdea6…1550backed Yes | 4c | 698$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8599…bb74backed Yes | 15c | 682.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e73…30b3backed Yes | 14c | 671.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.97 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 12c | 627.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 591.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 10c | 585.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.26 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77c…a67abacked Yes | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204e…4236backed Yes | 3c | 500$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 15c | 500$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae7…1915backed Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…e781backed Yes | 8c | 456.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d77…058dbacked Yes | 6c | 447.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dd…5291backed Yes | 11c | 438.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7fecbacked Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e4…8d31backed Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480f…0905backed Yes | 7c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95a2…2f9ebacked Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 397.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0349…66fcbacked Yes | 13c | 387.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ad…cc1bbacked Yes | 17c | 348.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…3365backed Yes | 5c | 343.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…baa4backed Yes | 12c | 328.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…dc78backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2428…7d4abacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a20…b7cebacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…21aabacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34d2…9ad0backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04df…949ebacked Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2591…b527backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +237.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a78…c1a6backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Yes | 3c | 300$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a33…41d2backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f5…17a1backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9038…f74cbacked Yes | 14c | 295.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9a…331fbacked Yes | 4c | 294.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…84fbbacked Yes | 5c | 293.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb4…bf60backed Yes | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aae…14a3backed Yes | 4c | 266.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…c73dbacked Yes | 4c | 265.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb672…f74cbacked Yes | 4c | 265$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0626…2574backed Yes | 4c | 263.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…c3adbacked Yes | 4c | 258.75$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fe…e52cbacked Yes | 17c | 240$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.93 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 11c | 228.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2214…5968backed Yes | 14c | 225.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…a14ebacked Yes | 5c | 216.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 14c | 212.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.63 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf86e…cf24backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3200…d8c8backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…3541backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yes | 5c | 199.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff5…793ebacked Yes | 6c | 175.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 14cpaid | +61.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.