TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,140,671
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,093,065

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,140,671 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c357,127$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.571910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c300,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c146,000$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc915…0809backed Yes0c75,894$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c96…352ebacked Yes0c75,894$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x851a…a9bbbacked Yes0c75,669$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82d6…dca2backed Yes0c60,838$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.5120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c54,999$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x714f…e8aebacked Yes0c48,652$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c78…a6bdbacked Yes0c47,708$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.1280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…68ffbacked Yes0c46,486$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c43,000$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbb0…2732backed Yes0c39,178$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5340%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d2f…a9febacked Yes0c38,594$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd1…a6aebacked Yes0c37,027$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.0830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4df…ce07backed Yes0c36,970$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7411…5e13backed Yes0c36,731$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.1970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4868…6484backed Yes0c32,516$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8b…f613backed Yes0c31,862$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a03…4bccbacked Yes0c31,394$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8568…92adbacked Yes0c31,150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x590a…12babacked Yes0c30,866$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86c3…155ebacked Yes0c30,524$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a4d…4cb0backed Yes0c30,066$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf81…858bbacked Yes0c28,277$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a4…7a79backed Yes0c26,254$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e83…db16backed Yes0c26,224$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.67100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d86…466bbacked Yes0c25,646$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x906f…ff37backed Yes0c25,412$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd287…359ebacked Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…9a92backed Yes0c24,337$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.0180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b86…bdf6backed Yes0c23,825$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.4880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d94…3ac0backed Yes0c23,305$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8e…cff8backed Yes0c23,290$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.8730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aa9…d33abacked Yes0c22,560$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66bc…3b27backed Yes0c21,846$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.54100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b10…cc91backed Yes0c21,667$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7d3…f13abacked Yes0c21,284$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.8540%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18bf…557cbacked Yes0c21,027$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.08100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a11…a90ebacked Yes0c20,751$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x093e…302fbacked Yes0c20,680$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.0480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabca…6cf8backed Yes0c20,407$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.2280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5520…63e5backed Yes0c20,224$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8901…21d0backed Yes0c20,141$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4230%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…e298backed Yes0c19,946$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36db…b6ffbacked Yes0c19,874$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6290%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373e…4c19backed Yes0c19,745$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2490%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ab1…3732backed Yes0c19,570$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.71100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6434…09a7backed Yes0c18,728$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.1870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeee0…95a3backed Yes0c18,686$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7297…2587backed Yes0c18,521$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc3…4659backed Yes0c17,848$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.5480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30b5…11b7backed Yes0c17,660$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes2c17,480$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.752313%3 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid-21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c8e…30fdbacked Yes0c17,056$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee3…e262backed Yes0c16,992$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60f…b229backed Yes0c16,891$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.6790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb068…cb24backed Yes0c16,750$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232e…1d44backed Yes0c16,601$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd9…9988backed Yes0c16,426$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.2870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeb9…a974backed Yes0c16,170$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8ca…73e3backed Yes0c15,860$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a3c…ece9backed Yes0c15,687$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb61…b6dabacked Yes0c15,407$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c15,385$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.88390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2083…2e65backed Yes0c14,948$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8440%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf17…8ee5backed Yes0c14,448$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.34100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe9a…af99backed Yes0c14,330$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2279…460bbacked Yes0c14,257$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7790%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8619…d569backed Yes0c13,951$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddf9…7944backed Yes0c13,890$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc91d…b27dbacked Yes0c13,558$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6730%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66d0…bee6backed Yes0c13,537$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6190%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…9051backed Yes0c13,521$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.56100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd541…4cb4backed Yes0c13,505$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e6…5e15backed Yes0c13,454$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba4…c6cbbacked Yes0c13,142$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b0…32dbbacked Yes0c13,134$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfda6…99b3backed Yes0c12,858$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f9c…6661backed Yes0c12,574$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55b1…3248backed Yes0c12,327$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa725…3795backed Yes0c12,327$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3df7…697abacked Yes0c12,034$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7829…f04abacked Yes0c11,494$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadf8…6fa9backed Yes0c11,489$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.47100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68b1…e48cbacked Yes0c11,371$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.1150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89ca…b2babacked Yes0c11,317$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.95100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2d2…b747backed Yes0c11,283$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8520%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4165…457ebacked Yes0c11,266$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd644…6f80backed Yes0c11,218$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6590%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b4f…f24dbacked Yes0c10,870$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd8…787cbacked Yes0c10,837$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.67110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e2d…ed09backed Yes0c10,803$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abd…7525backed Yes0c10,707$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.1280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa975…0498backed Yes0c10,598$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a69…72a1backed Yes0c10,585$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd139…9af2backed Yes0c10,460$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2351…1696backed Yes0c10,426$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a0…3464backed Yes0c10,353$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f9a…4962backed Yes0c10,290$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.