College Football · resolved market
Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8b59fb8be8d6290203c841e7b6c7b1f8610f44402213fd9f7d612d972dc9733
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,709,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,243,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,709,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 1c | 100,728$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.67 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes | 1c | 48,296$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.24 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 0c | 41,554$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 2c | 33,525$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.43 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…1bc7backed Yes | 3c | 29,383$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes | 0c | 28,099$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 2c | 26,016$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 21,265$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.86 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 1c | 20,221$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.64 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…3365backed Yes | 1c | 14,061$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 13,700$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 4c | 10,019$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.49 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 1c | 7,792$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.19 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Yes | 1c | 7,224$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 6,833$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 1c | 6,600$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 1c | 6,426$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.96 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9330…21a2backed Yes | 2c | 5,882$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…64a2backed Yes | 1c | 5,341$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a4…4d01backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 1c | 4,003$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…dbadbacked Yes | 2c | 3,932$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 26cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabd8…787cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,738$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 1c | 3,191$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.02 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd36a…5bc2backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Yes | 1c | 2,771$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,583$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…aad5backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0802…81cabacked Yes | 2c | 2,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 1c | 1,958$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…4a10backed Yes | 2c | 1,800$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090f…8500backed Yes | 1c | 1,634$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 1c | 1,583$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7862backed Yes | 1c | 1,556$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed Yes | 1c | 1,400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,352$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d65…0143backed Yes | 1c | 1,349$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…01ddbacked Yes | 2c | 1,333$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…a52bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,297$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,267$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3194…eb07backed Yes | 1c | 1,137$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Yes | 2c | 1,136$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 1c | 1,125$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0456…5149backed Yes | 2c | 1,104$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…698abacked Yes | 1c | 1,086$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe123…b1fbbacked Yes | 1c | 1,016$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86e…cf24backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked Yes | 1c | 999.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 1c | 999.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 1c | 999.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 1c | 960.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cc…d0f4backed Yes | 2c | 938$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c5…84afbacked Yes | 1c | 933.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a4…9500backed Yes | 1c | 883.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a1…0e77backed Yes | 1c | 864.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 1c | 849.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54cb…b96ebacked Yes | 1c | 846.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…b5e6backed Yes | 1c | 844.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…a3bfbacked Yes | 2c | 773.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…0d49backed Yes | 1c | 753.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c77…7e25backed Yes | 2c | 733.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d8…1221backed Yes | 2c | 731.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb2…fb5cbacked Yes | 1c | 694.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…2a31backed Yes | 2c | 624.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 4c | 597$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcb…a83bbacked Yes | 4c | 479.49$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…5c68backed Yes | 5c | 399.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.