TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,922,365
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,160,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,922,365 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c299,895$400 inLost-$399.79170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Yes1c52,725$556 inLost-$555.711839%46 W · 72 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf74…0fcabacked Yes0c50,000$100 inLost-$100120%0 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd03…c6e0backed Yes1c48,071$528 inLost-$527.785131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c39,573$129 inLost-$129.15402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8e…cff8backed Yes0c38,854$117 inLost-$116.5630%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c30,949$143 inLost-$143.331910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c30,401$121 inLost-$120.96390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b50…43e8backed Yes1c28,935$283 inLost-$283.3830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77ec…24cfbacked Yes2c27,996$613 inLost-$612.8440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c25,000$50 inLost-$50130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e74…7343backed Yes0c21,203$85 inLost-$8510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815e…442cbacked Yes0c18,518$56 inLost-$55.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes2c16,027$255 inLost-$255.422313%3 W · 20 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick6cpaid-21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes1c14,818$130 inLost-$130.17210%0 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes0c13,000$26 inLost-$262516%4 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-62.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82a0…33a1backed Yes1c12,410$72 inLost-$72.43214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-90.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc19a…b660backed Yes1c11,044$55 inLost-$55.22450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes1c10,082$104 inLost-$103.636442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4eed…fa6cbacked Yes0c9,625$29 inLost-$28.8720%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2472…3365backed Yes0c8,159$39 inLost-$38.9590%0 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c7,000$25 inLost-$25170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9512…4783backed Yes0c5,228$16 inLost-$15.6820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes1c4,941$38 inLost-$37.75234.3%1 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-85.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes2c4,878$75 inLost-$75.257234.7%25 W · 47 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3134…9ddcbacked Yes0c4,370$13 inLost-$13.1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes1c4,352$38 inLost-$38.1112816.4%21 W · 107 L-8.4wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-30.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xabd8…787cbacked Yes1c4,330$26 inLost-$26.31110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34c2…f6fbbacked Yes1c3,954$28 inLost-$28.49130%0 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33ae…a8b3backed Yes7c2,838$200 inLost-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ddd…372dbacked Yes0c2,678$11 inLost-$10.532227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-44.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3694…1d72backed Yes1c2,573$29 inLost-$28.81110%0 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes1c1,818$23 inLost-$22.543511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick14cpaid-70%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d59…7821backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9330…21a2backed Yes1c1,000$11 inLost-$10.8140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0838…5171backed Yes6c617.31$35 inLost-$35.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e2…0f38backed Yes2c500$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6ce…d437backed Yes2c500$10 inLost-$10520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd249…d2cebacked Yes4c250.19$10 inLost-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.