College Football · resolved market
Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe90124edb50f8a1deef60077a24440f823a05ec0917afc65bc89f7a98e635844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $758,686
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $321,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $758,686 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x86e3…ad70backed Yes | 0c | 76,523$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 0c | 35,055$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…cd72backed Yes | 2c | 31,440$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.79 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…24cfbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked Yes | 0c | 17,277$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 5c | 17,041$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.62 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 3c | 17,005$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.78 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 5c | 11,643$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.67 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 0c | 10,995$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Yes | 1c | 9,429$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.14 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 7c | 9,206$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.52 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…5867backed Yes | 2c | 9,081$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 5c | 6,666$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.21 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 6,448$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Yes | 2c | 5,003$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Yes | 5c | 4,855$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Yes | 1c | 4,266$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Yes | 7c | 4,080$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.84 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 3,977$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.84 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 1c | 3,757$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19a…2f33backed Yes | 8c | 3,327$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.32 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648e…0596backed Yes | 5c | 3,236$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 2,313$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.09 | 128 | 16.4%21 W · 107 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…0ce0backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 3c | 1,488$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.11 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x562a…3d9cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,266$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2472…3365backed Yes | 6c | 1,183$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.36 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…67fdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,063$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f95…cd47backed Yes | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…7b96backed Yes | 2c | 1,050$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…4a10backed Yes | 7c | 1,040$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d59…7821backed Yes | 2c | 1,019$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…09c6backed Yes | 5c | 1,012$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.75 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb950…4dd4backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x128e…a35bbacked Yes | 5c | 999.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0e…91c6backed Yes | 2c | 993.11$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…93c4backed Yes | 7c | 911$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…e531backed Yes | 3c | 900$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 2c | 824.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf46…9c5dbacked Yes | 8c | 808$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Yes | 4c | 750$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…cd49backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…f3a5backed Yes | 5c | 713.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 3c | 705.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.17 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c4…5cfabacked Yes | 2c | 634$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8082…9b29backed Yes | 2c | 628.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…1de4backed Yes | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c72…ee4cbacked Yes | 5c | 600$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed Yes | 7c | 600$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76d3…fe5dbacked Yes | 8c | 590$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.72 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…757abacked Yes | 4c | 470.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…2861backed Yes | 7c | 441.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Yes | 5c | 400.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f78…37b3backed Yes | 7c | 359.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5086…5080backed Yes | 4c | 350$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 7c | 343.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 8c | 343.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdff…d544backed Yes | 6c | 339.38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb48d…9f73backed Yes | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed Yes | 5c | 322.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc084…a34fbacked Yes | 8c | 318.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bae…2e92backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…5e3dbacked Yes | 4c | 299.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2e…182dbacked Yes | 10c | 203.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf86e…cf24backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad7…86bfbacked Yes | 9c | 172.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc534…2ca4backed Yes | 7c | 146.81$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another team win the 2025 College Football Playoff?this page
- Will Ole Miss win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oregon win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Alabama win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Auburn win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Clemson win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Florida State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Georgia win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Kansas State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will LSU win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Louisville win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Miami (FL) win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Michigan win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Missouri win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will NC State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Nebraska win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Ohio State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?Yes won
- Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Oklahoma win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Penn State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Tennessee win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Texas A&M win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will USC win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
- Will Utah win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.