TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Will Oklahoma State win the 2025 College Football Playoff?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,828,619
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,115,725

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,828,619 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes0c300,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400170%0 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c9a…b2c6backed Yes0c274,652$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.321910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…aad5backed Yes0c129,000$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367170%0 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6f3…124fbacked Yes0c62,113$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.3480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8d0…d173backed Yes0c61,341$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.0270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610d…3eefbacked Yes0c60,033$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.160%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c59,855$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.78390%0 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cfb…ea56backed Yes0c58,020$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.0680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…20d9backed Yes0c57,981$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b8…4846backed Yes0c57,437$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4962…deb3backed Yes0c57,180$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x205d…f818backed Yes0c56,420$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.2680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x704d…2010backed Yes0c53,811$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…398ebacked Yes0c51,728$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.1880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeec4…6cdfbacked Yes0c51,404$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.2180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes0c50,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110402.5%1 W · 39 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick2cpaid-87.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc09d…042abacked Yes0c48,535$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.6170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93b6…1564backed Yes0c47,281$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.8460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45e0…99dbbacked Yes0c46,716$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.1580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea0c…9d2ebacked Yes0c46,448$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.3470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8937…5dfdbacked Yes0c45,322$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.9780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d0b…4f4dbacked Yes0c45,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100130%0 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4165…457ebacked Yes0c44,229$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.6980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cba…78b6backed Yes0c42,008$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.0380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6e…fd01backed Yes0c41,935$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.8170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb19c…7146backed Yes0c41,302$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.9170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f55…3296backed Yes0c40,827$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.4870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9f3…d97bbacked Yes0c39,854$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5640%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x353c…bfefbacked Yes0c39,634$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.990%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbcc9…4a1ebacked Yes0c39,375$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1737…ad9ebacked Yes0c39,325$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed14…3e87backed Yes0c39,202$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x501b…b741backed Yes0c38,954$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8660%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cb0…aa22backed Yes0c38,714$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d3d…7084backed Yes0c38,424$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.2770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…5a2abacked Yes0c38,344$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0360%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2e7…a0dbbacked Yes0c38,235$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cdd…53cbbacked Yes0c38,065$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0953…7f89backed Yes0c38,030$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.0970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5e…1b16backed Yes0c37,963$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e83…db16backed Yes0c36,639$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.92100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40cf…a057backed Yes0c36,515$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5460%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52bd…e647backed Yes0c36,435$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.3180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6380…500cbacked Yes0c36,392$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.1870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5350…1fddbacked Yes0c35,679$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eb2…fe70backed Yes0c35,384$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.1560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a5…f44cbacked Yes0c35,116$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.3570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa725…3795backed Yes0c34,831$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.4980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d86…466bbacked Yes0c34,598$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.7980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc94b…7ea1backed Yes0c34,248$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.7480%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe86…6fe9backed Yes0c33,983$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd389…004cbacked Yes0c33,820$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…9051backed Yes0c33,609$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.83100%0 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61d9…1c2bbacked Yes0c33,223$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6760%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8a…8895backed Yes0c32,683$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0560%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a4e…8c06backed Yes0c32,458$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3770%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…00c3backed Yes0c32,228$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x232e…1d44backed Yes0c32,111$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.3380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd18e…dcccbacked Yes0c31,986$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9690%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001f…f36ebacked Yes0c31,897$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…4f5bbacked Yes0c31,698$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bc…9289backed Yes0c31,587$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd541…4cb4backed Yes0c31,364$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.0980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ba…1969backed Yes0c31,249$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7580%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0990…8a5fbacked Yes0c31,202$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.6170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x354b…9a92backed Yes0c31,136$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4180%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d7…3dd8backed Yes0c30,835$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.530%0 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb61…b6dabacked Yes0c30,755$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.2680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbccb…60d4backed Yes0c30,668$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9270%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c99…09febacked Yes0c30,597$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.7960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8da…fe50backed Yes0c30,436$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3150%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8b…f613backed Yes0c30,432$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff04…5b56backed Yes0c30,428$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.2840%0 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc4d…3831backed Yes0c30,031$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.0960%0 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfaf…7da9backed Yes0c29,701$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1670…f8d4backed Yes0c29,600$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26ae…55c7backed Yes0c29,594$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7890%0 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e9…dd95backed Yes0c29,376$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.1370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d75…be74backed Yes0c29,154$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227b…d86fbacked Yes0c28,994$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.9870%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x531b…413ebacked Yes0c28,843$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x421e…1721backed Yes0c28,810$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.4380%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3aef…7a48backed Yes0c28,772$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.3280%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0a0…3464backed Yes0c28,696$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.0970%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9736…0aadbacked Yes0c28,470$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.4170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5440…c83abacked Yes0c28,462$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.3980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f40…3acfbacked Yes0c28,300$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97a4…c298backed Yes0c28,181$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.5470%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e89…b362backed Yes0c27,625$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.8780%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02c…72f7backed Yes0c27,494$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c4…da18backed Yes0c27,288$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8670%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0961…238dbacked Yes0c27,205$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.6170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd569…6ad7backed Yes0c26,950$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.8570%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9126…de59backed Yes0c26,870$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6170%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b29…949dbacked Yes0c26,852$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5680%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb7c…316bbacked Yes0c26,665$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9980%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32a2…c77cbacked Yes0c26,327$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9880%0 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629e…e86ebacked Yes0c26,246$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7450%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bd0…76bebacked Yes0c26,209$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6370%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85b9…a631backed Yes0c26,063$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.1950%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.