Us Politics · resolved market
Will Joe pardon Hunter Biden?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e85e94301db0e38e25f0650ab649c3a4485b5fc9734a8b6abf3d0da0ee6dd55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,401,721
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,428,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,401,721 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,537 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x008b…b476backed Yes | 28c | 311,212$87,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223,213.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad5d…8441backed No | 0c | 116,179$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 3c | 114,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…487fbacked No | 2c | 101,854$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,354.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 77c | 98,217$75,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,358.17 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71dd…d61cbacked Yes | 30c | 96,468$28,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,924.79 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…1ad2backed Yes | 24c | 89,046$20,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,107.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 33cpaid | +165.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88b6…3cffbacked No | 71c | 72,858$51,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,623.11 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea2f…a8efbacked Yes | 26c | 71,751$18,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,832.78 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +6.6wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0d…132dbacked No | 71c | 62,078$44,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,261.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Yes | 25c | 61,591$15,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,420.47 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +58%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 72c | 54,252$39,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,182.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 0c | 50,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e56…dee1backed No | 71c | 43,239$30,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,695.95 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x534b…b321backed Yes | 33c | 43,157$14,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,096.08 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7597…fa94backed No | 75c | 40,264$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdab1…d307backed Yes | 30c | 38,633$11,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,117.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…a3f8backed No | 72c | 37,749$27,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,262.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 27c | 36,413$9,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,718.47 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…c9cdbacked No | 71c | 35,515$25,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,085.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c0e…434ebacked No | 72c | 34,890$25,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,113.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…9df8backed Yes | 23c | 33,623$7,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,756.62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6931…0f3cbacked Yes | 28c | 32,194$9,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,043.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +251.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…50a4backed Yes | 18c | 31,339$5,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,568.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…0f51backed No | 73c | 31,291$22,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,851.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9be…1d98backed Yes | 30c | 28,885$8,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,098.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 26cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed No | 77c | 28,535$21,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,988.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…b536backed No | 71c | 28,000$19,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,979.96 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bcc9backed No | 77c | 25,800$19,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,905.99 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 38c | 25,309$9,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,614.45 | 168 | 54.8%92 W · 76 L | +22.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +56%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5923…a3f7backed Yes | 26c | 25,012$6,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,590.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa416…025ebacked Yes | 31c | 24,680$7,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,145.35 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd18f…681ebacked Yes | 25c | 22,441$5,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,804.37 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e4…1009backed No | 66c | 21,593$14,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,350.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Yes | 28c | 21,546$6,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,415.7 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…85aabacked No | 71c | 20,859$14,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,779.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4124…5827backed Yes | 27c | 20,170$5,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,812.34 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…8edfbacked Yes | 27c | 20,000$5,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,549.73 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc928…e2f6backed No | 71c | 19,964$14,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,085.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 70c | 19,889$13,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,922.02 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 26c | 19,685$5,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,589.6 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 72c | 19,665$14,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,095.72 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 55c | 19,109$10,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,517.16 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 73c | 19,000$13,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,849.72 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9884…b165backed Yes | 34c | 17,915$6,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,864.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 75c | 17,184$12,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,920.15 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 27c | 17,131$4,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,452.38 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 75c | 16,822$12,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,616.99 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 74c | 16,583$12,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,259.99 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +89.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f3…330dbacked No | 76c | 14,087$10,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,748.75 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…fe65backed No | 72c | 14,000$10,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,069.69 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…23d8backed Yes | 15c | 13,893$2,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,804.89 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71ca…3501backed No | 71c | 13,828$9,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,826.21 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x42fa…1fc7backed No | 74c | 13,505$9,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,958.86 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc66…eb4bbacked No | 74c | 13,266$9,791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,791.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 28c | 13,065$3,594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,470.72 | 172 | 25%43 W · 129 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…c885backed No | 72c | 12,968$9,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,328.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bff…ffbebacked No | 71c | 12,657$8,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,941.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd909…fd75backed No | 23c | 12,562$2,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,842.4 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes | 25c | 12,279$3,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,194.69 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 25c | 12,272$3,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,204 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a8…3dc0backed No | 0c | 12,210$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…e291backed No | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0f…fdf7backed Yes | 24c | 10,996$2,691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,304.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 24c | 10,897$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,279.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 17cpaid | +181.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc5…a867backed Yes | 29c | 10,790$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.49 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…2552backed Yes | 29c | 10,783$3,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,708.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 76c | 10,554$7,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,985.45 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +9.0wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a90…34eabacked Yes | 17c | 10,107$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,385.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +486.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d31…cb04backed Yes | 24c | 10,101$2,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,654.95 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5d…ad4fbacked Yes | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…06e4backed No | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…bc2bbacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4840…979bbacked Yes | 25c | 9,868$2,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,400.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 19cpaid | +199.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1b…c4c1backed No | 1c | 9,730$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed No | 72c | 9,600$6,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,912 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81ab…d866backed Yes | 28c | 9,368$2,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,723.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +254.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…8bfdbacked Yes | 22c | 9,264$1,994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,269.26 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4558…a2b3backed No | 72c | 9,057$6,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,498.16 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 78c | 8,991$6,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,978.05 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 69c | 8,811$6,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,052.75 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb409…d114backed No | 72c | 8,519$6,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,163.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed No | 73c | 8,384$6,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,114.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Yes | 30c | 8,193$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.47 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked No | 73c | 8,140$5,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,960.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8764…6d8fbacked No | 78c | 8,045$6,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,274.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 72c | 8,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1123…2caebacked No | 73c | 7,631$5,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,603.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x383a…c380backed Yes | 17c | 7,599$1,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,285.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +189.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9eb7backed No | 79c | 7,500$5,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,923.2 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 71c | 7,366$5,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…7f26backed No | 69c | 7,227$5,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,016.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d9…0e65backed Yes | 28c | 7,200$2,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,195.83 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fc…0ec1backed Yes | 21c | 7,164$1,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,635.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…0361backed No | 66c | 7,161$4,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e88ebacked No | 70c | 7,148$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x144a…e06ebacked No | 72c | 7,000$5,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,009.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc658…b784backed No | 75c | 6,866$5,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.33 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c34…026fbacked No | 74c | 6,800$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,032 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…8c3fbacked Yes | 28c | 6,500$1,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,652.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.