Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Creighton vs. Louisville
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4578e875b814f2f9fdb38403450b88974159b0f8605a8d71dfd71d48cdf62619
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Creightonof Creighton, Louisville
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $179,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Louisville | 7c | 33,187$2,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.62 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Louisville | 23c | 12,027$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787.39 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed Louisville | 59c | 5,276$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,112.28 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Louisville | 9c | 5,146$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.65 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Louisville | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Louisville | 50c | 4,710$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.07 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Creighton | 46c | 4,246$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Creighton | 41c | 3,384$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,992.74 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Louisville | 58c | 3,340$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,942.46 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Louisville | 11c | 3,100$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.75 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…eb1dbacked Louisville | 60c | 2,674$1,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Louisville | 1c | 2,625$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Creighton | 40c | 2,614$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.16 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Louisville | 57c | 2,613$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Creighton | 41c | 2,514$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.21 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Creighton | 41c | 2,415$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.63 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Creighton | 55c | 1,801$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.17 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Louisville | 58c | 1,580$914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913.77 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Louisville | 9c | 1,315$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Creighton | 39c | 1,205$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.05 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Creighton | 44c | 1,142$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.73 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Creighton | 69c | 1,138$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.6 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Louisville | 61c | 1,000$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.3 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Creighton | 43c | 934.64$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.64 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…b01fbacked Louisville | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Creighton | 40c | 647$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.2 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Louisville | 59c | 640.17$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.61 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Louisville | 35c | 595.61$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Creighton | 57c | 350$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Creighton | 41c | 348.82$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.21 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Louisville | 48c | 334$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Louisville | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Louisville | 59c | 322.03$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Louisville | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Louisville | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Louisville | 58c | 299.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.99 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Louisville | 59c | 298.69$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Louisville | 58c | 282.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.94 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed Louisville | 39c | 266.78$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Creighton | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Louisville | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Louisville | 59c | 244.07$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Creighton | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Creighton | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Creighton | 42c | 238.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.09 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked Louisville | 52c | 225$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.6 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Creighton | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…2a60backed Louisville | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…00f9backed Louisville | 50c | 170$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Louisville | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Louisville | 48c | 161.67$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.11 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Louisville | 52c | 158.14$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.88 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa93…df01backed Louisville | 58c | 150.36$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.21 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Louisville | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…92eebacked Creighton | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Creighton | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Creighton | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Louisville | 15c | 110$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Creighton | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…24c3backed Creighton | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…b660backed Louisville | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Creighton | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Louisville | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7941…c675backed Louisville | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Louisville | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…bd08backed Louisville | 59c | 89.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe56f…3914backed Creighton | 42c | 87.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Louisville | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed Louisville | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Creighton | 41c | 65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Louisville | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc25…4d73backed Creighton | 42c | 59.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Creighton | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.14 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Louisville | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4116…779dbacked Louisville | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Creighton | 43c | 49.91$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…1140backed Creighton | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Creighton | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Creighton | 40c | 44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 348 | 42.8%149 W · 199 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Louisville | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31dc…f663backed Creighton | 42c | 35.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f8…1affbacked Louisville | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Louisville | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Louisville | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Louisville | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Creighton | 43c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc828…66b7backed Creighton | 66c | 21.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.