Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
High Point vs. Purdue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0b5bcac7262f41f3443f7986a28d42f71985ec119e17d08c427cc67c11864bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdueof High Point, Purdue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $199,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,904
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $199,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed High Point | 3c | 36,433$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.83 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…7724backed High Point | 25c | 11,944$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed High Point | 3c | 10,864$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.57 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked High Point | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 2.4%2 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed High Point | 9c | 6,872$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.59 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Purdue | 75c | 3,399$2,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.45 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed High Point | 24c | 3,196$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.01 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda31…8e56backed High Point | 23c | 2,999$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.77 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Purdue | 74c | 1,486$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.37 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed High Point | 22c | 1,300$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.42 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked High Point | 13c | 1,011$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.44 | 140 | 21.4%30 W · 110 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed High Point | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked High Point | 4c | 975$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed High Point | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed High Point | 25c | 794.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Purdue | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +5.2wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked High Point | 23c | 631.12$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.18 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked High Point | 16c | 626.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed High Point | 18c | 552.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed High Point | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked High Point | 23c | 466.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.05 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…2864backed High Point | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked High Point | 4c | 450$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed High Point | 24c | 416.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked High Point | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a0…1509backed High Point | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked High Point | 25c | 304$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed High Point | 7c | 246.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Purdue | 75c | 230$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…e9dabacked High Point | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed High Point | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Purdue | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad4f…12a3backed Purdue | 78c | 128.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed High Point | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed High Point | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed High Point | 25c | 89.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f1…1140backed High Point | 25c | 80.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed High Point | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed High Point | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7e…8a48backed High Point | 25c | 76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…e3f1backed High Point | 26c | 70.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Purdue | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x635d…5025backed Purdue | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Purdue | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Purdue | 78c | 57.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed High Point | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed High Point | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked Purdue | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0078…bca0backed High Point | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Purdue | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Purdue | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Purdue | 78c | 28.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Purdue | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…a6afbacked Purdue | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.