TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Colorado State vs. Memphis

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Colorado Stateof Colorado State, Memphis
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$615,319
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$704,729

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $615,319 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3078…3e11backed Colorado State70c68,597$47,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,612.444134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Memphis12c66,551$8,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,260.087912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Memphis38c45,853$17,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,578.6218850%94 W · 94 L+11.6wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-4.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Colorado State64c37,566$23,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,603.5110335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Memphis24c29,149$7,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,130.869833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Memphis49c25,297$12,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,342.713641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc3…7552backed Colorado State51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,3504542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…3ef1backed Memphis36c10,100$3,647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,646.513243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a34…5636backed Colorado State57c9,568$5,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,093.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7724backed Memphis49c8,438$4,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,134.71172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.7wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+39.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Colorado State68c6,970$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,238.635054%27 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Memphis46c5,789$2,668 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6684052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Memphis5c5,200$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2544932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Memphis0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-88.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Colorado State52c4,931$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,366.658356.6%47 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Memphis42c4,398$1,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,847.645527.3%15 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Memphis46c3,248$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.1142948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12d6…dbbcbacked Colorado State60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2001450%7 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…612abacked Memphis50c2,782$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.87933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked Memphis51c2,629$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.63036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9f9f…005dbacked Memphis52c2,519$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.67540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Memphis24c2,222$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.281010%1 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick23cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Memphis49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00041554.2%225 W · 190 L-0.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Memphis50c2,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99039144.5%174 W · 217 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Memphis20c1,751$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.111,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7552…320dbacked Colorado State52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3447…3495backed Memphis48c1,498$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.041050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Colorado State53c1,469$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.144831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Memphis49c1,399$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$685.515543.6%24 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae00…f7b0backed Colorado State71c1,127$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326.762347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Memphis52c1,119$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.736440.6%26 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Memphis19c1,048$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.871822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Memphis39c1,023$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400100%0 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Memphis38c1,006$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.78728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-48.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Colorado State51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+36.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Memphis22c873.61$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1951363.7%5 W · 131 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0317…6289backed Colorado State63c868.49$544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.722040%8 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Memphis49c861.25$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.891735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-48.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Memphis19c860$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.344955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe696…36a0backed Memphis48c829$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a48…9f3ebacked Colorado State52c829$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.92450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef0…a56ebacked Colorado State76c786.05$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.65366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Colorado State64c781.25$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Memphis45c732.43$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.77936.7%29 W · 50 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Colorado State55c728.36$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.362676.9%20 W · 6 L+5.2wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7aa1…fd2dbacked Colorado State52c725$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf98c…bf06backed Memphis48c710.71$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.5580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+39.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Colorado State52c689.03$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.737237.5%27 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Colorado State51c653.52$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.229641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Memphis49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002568%17 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Colorado State51c604.78$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.0816842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4116…779dbacked Memphis11c600$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681118.2%2 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Memphis18c555$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.914021.4%30 W · 110 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe634…7a95backed Memphis46c548.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-73.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Memphis48c522.13$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.622934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-38.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Memphis3c510$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610236.3%37 W · 65 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Colorado State51c499.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24513936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e7…4420backed Colorado State53c492.49$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.681020%2 W · 8 L-3.5wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-65.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Memphis42c473.21$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8507…8a79backed Memphis12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick24cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…2a60backed Memphis53c414.44$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick49cpaid-58.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89b3…6ed8backed Memphis65c409.25$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.292580%20 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87cf…25a4backed Memphis49c408.4$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Colorado State71c402.61$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.343,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Colorado State51c399.99$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1966934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Colorado State51c399.97$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…bbcdbacked Memphis50c397.1$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ed…3cc4backed Memphis64c390.63$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-77.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Memphis60c389.14$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.544632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Colorado State52c371.28$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2153057.4%304 W · 226 L+33.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Memphis48c317.98$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.6315851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Memphis42c299$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.972,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45f5…01e5backed Memphis61c283.69$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.0530%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfee4…5b91backed Memphis19c260.94$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+71.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Colorado State54c260.02$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.611560%9 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Colorado State39c256.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.411752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x62b2…85d5backed Memphis47c249.98$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.491631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-32.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49dd…2a32backed Colorado State48c230$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.73250%16 W · 16 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Colorado State53c221.61$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.149751.5%50 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4964…4fddbacked Colorado State65c221.51$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-46.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Memphis47c212.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.018151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x755c…7741backed Memphis47c212.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.012931%9 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4345…77fabacked Memphis61c210.77$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.57742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x830d…3f0ebacked Memphis48c210.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002030%6 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Memphis48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Memphis48c208.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9810650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Memphis49c206.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004035%14 W · 26 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…cd12backed Memphis17c205.29$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.46850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Memphis49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008463.1%53 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed Memphis49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Memphis61c202.2$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.346953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Colorado State53c194.12$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.241145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0078…bca0backed Colorado State55c182.55$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.553447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Colorado State33c178.7$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.731127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Memphis31c170$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.72927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Memphis48c158.33$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Colorado State64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2548462.8%304 W · 180 L-0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Memphis52c146.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.1760551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a4…e284backed Colorado State55c146.18$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f73…ced3backed Memphis43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.22060%12 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.