College Football · resolved market
CFB: North Carolina vs. Minnesota
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc76d6981700af387391fb2dfa275a1a7dd99bdc3f74d53cb69988ffe253abfb9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNCof UNC, Minnesota
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,074
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,074 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Minnesota | 51c | 3,159$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.09 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked UNC | 49c | 1,818$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.27 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Minnesota | 45c | 1,636$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.03 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked UNC | 35c | 1,369$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.78 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked UNC | 63c | 1,014$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.78 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…4feabacked UNC | 55c | 525.59$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.24 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed UNC | 53c | 502.92$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.69 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked UNC | 40c | 496.38$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.58 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed UNC | 53c | 231.92$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed Minnesota | 11c | 223.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49de…4dc5backed Minnesota | 59c | 202.94$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Minnesota | 53c | 180$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff8f…e729backed Minnesota | 47c | 177.7$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6db…2537backed UNC | 56c | 177.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cc…8839backed UNC | 57c | 176.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Minnesota | 39c | 167.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9b…5722backed Minnesota | 68c | 146.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.78 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed UNC | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed UNC | 35c | 128.74$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec3…53a1backed UNC | 49c | 120.82$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6678…d4b6backed Minnesota | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Minnesota | 44c | 105.16$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…3ababacked Minnesota | 48c | 101.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Minnesota | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4094…2ec9backed Minnesota | 50c | 63.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Minnesota | 51c | 54.36$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 35cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed UNC | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9180…3933backed Minnesota | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed UNC | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c4…c131backed UNC | 56c | 39.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bda…9b11backed UNC | 56c | 31.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…6239backed UNC | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.