College Football · resolved market
Iowa State vs. Kansas State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3db0c8b921331aa5583253a77424ef16c68381e2b1eec0f009fafb6adb5a0534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Iowa Stateof Iowa State, Kansas State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,676
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $120,926
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,676 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Iowa State | 44c | 24,658$10,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,813.03 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Kansas State | 55c | 16,172$8,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,878.57 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Kansas State | 41c | 7,206$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Kansas State | 65c | 7,117$4,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,608.17 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Iowa State | 78c | 6,455$5,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.06 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Kansas State | 4c | 4,427$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.97 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Iowa State | 48c | 2,905$1,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.82 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…51c8backed Iowa State | 55c | 2,158$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf54…3386backed Iowa State | 47c | 2,042$958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,084.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Kansas State | 61c | 1,800$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Iowa State | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Iowa State | 78c | 1,449$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.76 | 267 | 50.9%136 W · 131 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kansas State | 60c | 1,345$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.01 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Iowa State | 42c | 1,325$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.17 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Iowa State | 44c | 1,191$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.47 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Iowa State | 47c | 1,168$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Iowa State | 70c | 1,085$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.26 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe807…8922backed Iowa State | 43c | 1,047$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Iowa State | 49c | 1,006$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.13 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Kansas State | 26c | 857.83$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Kansas State | 61c | 850.14$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Iowa State | 48c | 829$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…4025backed Iowa State | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kansas State | 57c | 775.21$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.34 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Iowa State | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdb…7ea3backed Kansas State | 60c | 700.45$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95d6…9aeabacked Kansas State | 26c | 673.89$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Iowa State | 41c | 665$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.35 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Kansas State | 47c | 658.78$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.44 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Iowa State | 59c | 630$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.49 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Iowa State | 42c | 595.87$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.87 | 224 | 37.5%84 W · 140 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Kansas State | 60c | 550$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Iowa State | 42c | 500.45$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.26 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e71…3838backed Iowa State | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Kansas State | 59c | 499.95$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.97 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Kansas State | 62c | 485.94$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8e…0f12backed Kansas State | 54c | 460.4$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.5 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Kansas State | 18c | 455.08$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.83 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Iowa State | 43c | 436.49$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.8 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Kansas State | 58c | 429.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Kansas State | 30c | 423.36$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Iowa State | 52c | 409.23$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.37 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Kansas State | 60c | 402.75$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.4 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Iowa State | 39c | 400$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Iowa State | 41c | 351.78$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.55 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Kansas State | 35c | 319.19$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.07 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Kansas State | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Iowa State | 38c | 299.96$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.97 | 109 | 44%48 W · 61 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Iowa State | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 188 | 58%109 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Iowa State | 40c | 251.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.57 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Iowa State | 38c | 247.61$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.52 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kansas State | 36c | 243.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.65 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Iowa State | 43c | 233$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.81 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Kansas State | 58c | 227.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.12 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Iowa State | 40c | 216$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Iowa State | 39c | 205$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.05 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Iowa State | 38c | 199.98$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kansas State | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Iowa State | 42c | 165.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.16 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Kansas State | 18c | 165.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Kansas State | 44c | 157.38$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed Kansas State | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x384a…39c0backed Iowa State | 54c | 149.99$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.69 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Kansas State | 13c | 149.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 74 | 14.9%11 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Iowa State | 41c | 137$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.32 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Iowa State | 39c | 130$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.3 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c9…cf27backed Kansas State | 46c | 118.62$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Kansas State | 52c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.35 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb3…4976backed Iowa State | 64c | 110.12$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Kansas State | 45c | 109.9$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Iowa State | 40c | 108.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06b2…9f35backed Kansas State | 60c | 108$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…aba8backed Iowa State | 45c | 107.55$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a7…cac6backed Kansas State | 60c | 103.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Iowa State | 45c | 101$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 33cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Kansas State | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Iowa State | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Kansas State | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 90 | 51.1%46 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Iowa State | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…73acbacked Kansas State | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Kansas State | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Iowa State | 62c | 99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.62 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…d3d0backed Iowa State | 65c | 95.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…61abbacked Iowa State | 40c | 90$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17a9…04f5backed Kansas State | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d65…fcf6backed Iowa State | 80c | 86.25$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…2a64backed Kansas State | 44c | 84.92$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a2…37c7backed Kansas State | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Kansas State | 59c | 73.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Kansas State | 48c | 72.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kansas State | 58c | 69.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…4257backed Iowa State | 41c | 69.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad36…84d3backed Kansas State | 63c | 63.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…8743backed Iowa State | 40c | 62.2$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4b…94d4backed Kansas State | 60c | 62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed11…a858backed Kansas State | 30c | 55.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Kansas State | 62c | 51.48$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.91 | 68 | 61.8%42 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Kansas State | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Iowa State | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa555…2d6fbacked Iowa State | 41c | 48.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Iowa State vs. Kansas Statethis page
- Iowa State vs. Kansas State: O/U 51.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas State (-3.5)No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.