College Football · resolved market
CFB: Florida St. vs. Georgia Tech
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x518406cc13322d7de262ca1b1cbd9d5318d3dfae19b7004ddfb32834e27cde64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Techof Florida St., Georgia Tech
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Florida St. | 23c | 5,993$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.14 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…4979backed Georgia Tech | 20c | 5,719$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +138%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Florida St. | 77c | 4,084$3,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,146.65 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked Florida St. | 1c | 3,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20eb…9694backed Georgia Tech | 31c | 1,804$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,244.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Florida St. | 78c | 1,726$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Georgia Tech | 35c | 1,355$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.03 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Florida St. | 80c | 1,279$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.9 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked Georgia Tech | 33c | 1,269$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Georgia Tech | 39c | 1,161$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.72 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Georgia Tech | 20c | 966.1$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.88 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Georgia Tech | 26c | 949.99$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.5 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 6cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…e17ebacked Florida St. | 80c | 890$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd028…75f5backed Georgia Tech | 74c | 804.47$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…1881backed Georgia Tech | 22c | 677.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +192.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…d7c7backed Florida St. | 79c | 617$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Florida St. | 77c | 567.68$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.11 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Florida St. | 55c | 539.49$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.72 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe322…99ffbacked Georgia Tech | 30c | 527.7$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed Florida St. | 79c | 506.41$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Georgia Tech | 20c | 426.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +165.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe97a…9d5bbacked Georgia Tech | 60c | 416$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Florida St. | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Florida St. | 76c | 375$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.36 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed Florida St. | 76c | 260$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Georgia Tech | 21c | 250$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd03…c6e0backed Georgia Tech | 66c | 250$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…6153backed Florida St. | 77c | 244.5$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…c8bfbacked Georgia Tech | 25c | 242.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +303.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3195…a94fbacked Florida St. | 60c | 224.1$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Florida St. | 75c | 223$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.42 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Florida St. | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -87.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed Georgia Tech | 34c | 200$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x688e…a8f1backed Florida St. | 77c | 144$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa522…2b67backed Georgia Tech | 20c | 111$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 18cpaid | +437%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfa…a0dabacked Florida St. | 65c | 107.69$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Florida St. | 67c | 105$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3573…b6f9backed Florida St. | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…fb20backed Florida St. | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa03b…c3f1backed Georgia Tech | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…6424backed Florida St. | 78c | 100$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Georgia Tech | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +132.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed Georgia Tech | 31c | 87.56$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fd…1301backed Florida St. | 69c | 76.67$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…c405backed Florida St. | 69c | 73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…3129backed Georgia Tech | 21c | 70.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…b987backed Florida St. | 66c | 70$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d5…682bbacked Georgia Tech | 61c | 65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Georgia Tech | 18c | 62.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…b451backed Georgia Tech | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…f77ebacked Florida St. | 76c | 58.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa939…adf2backed Florida St. | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x021b…3c73backed Florida St. | 40c | 47.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff44…3eaabacked Florida St. | 67c | 41.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcf…c09fbacked Florida St. | 80c | 41.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd16a…962dbacked Florida St. | 63c | 39.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd683…9786backed Florida St. | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…d88cbacked Florida St. | 80c | 34.54$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…5924backed Florida St. | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6e…0db5backed Florida St. | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed6…58b9backed Florida St. | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +26%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…a5b9backed Florida St. | 78c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3c…1613backed Florida St. | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d4a4backed Florida St. | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.