Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Xavier vs. Illinois
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe892745e08a132b483e70c7c4af703767e8bea2fad94444fd17487c7e86abca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Illinoisof Xavier, Illinois
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $208,036
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47bc…c043backed Illinois | 73c | 93,987$68,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,629.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Xavier | 27c | 64,653$17,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,294.56 | 79 | 12.7%10 W · 69 L | -13.1wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Xavier | 37c | 25,000$9,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,250 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Xavier | 19c | 22,688$4,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,284.67 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Xavier | 11c | 12,689$1,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,442.68 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 10cpaid | +339.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Xavier | 34c | 12,416$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +151.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Illinois | 79c | 10,189$8,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.54 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Illinois | 67c | 8,719$5,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,853.31 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Illinois | 64c | 7,946$5,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,891.62 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Xavier | 37c | 7,756$2,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.98 | 250 | 43.2%108 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Illinois | 62c | 6,988$4,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.07 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Xavier | 38c | 4,242$1,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,616.74 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Illinois | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Illinois | 63c | 3,585$2,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.45 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Illinois | 64c | 2,328$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.04 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Xavier | 39c | 2,160$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.81 | 98 | 33.7%33 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Illinois | 74c | 1,990$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.7 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Xavier | 36c | 1,958$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.62 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Illinois | 63c | 1,623$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.45 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…35cfbacked Xavier | 40c | 1,595$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.42 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Xavier | 35c | 1,581$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Xavier | 36c | 1,565$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.4 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Xavier | 37c | 1,483$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.21 | 160 | 53.8%86 W · 74 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccb8…33cdbacked Xavier | 31c | 1,400$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Illinois | 66c | 1,034$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b8…b745backed Xavier | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Illinois | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Xavier | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Xavier | 39c | 950.16$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.56 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Xavier | 32c | 931.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…e286backed Xavier | 30c | 900$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Illinois | 75c | 783.33$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.65 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Illinois | 63c | 769.28$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.63 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Illinois | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87cf…25a4backed Illinois | 65c | 734.54$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…b7fdbacked Xavier | 29c | 688.91$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…f4f2backed Illinois | 63c | 674.86$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…480cbacked Xavier | 37c | 667.38$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Illinois | 60c | 667$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Xavier | 35c | 657$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.95 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Xavier | 38c | 553.88$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed Xavier | 38c | 549.98$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.99 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Illinois | 61c | 543.03$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.72 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Xavier | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Xavier | 37c | 478.68$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Illinois | 66c | 450.26$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.01 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Xavier | 35c | 443.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.29 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 47cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Xavier | 30c | 413.33$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked Xavier | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ce…a6abbacked Illinois | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ce…d77dbacked Illinois | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Xavier | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb080…2f8abacked Xavier | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Illinois | 70c | 287.18$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.18 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19f8…98f9backed Xavier | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 484 | 62.8%304 W · 180 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Xavier | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79e3…663dbacked Xavier | 38c | 262.66$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked Xavier | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…7741backed Xavier | 40c | 249.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fae…8e64backed Illinois | 66c | 246.8$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Xavier | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Xavier | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Illinois | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Illinois | 72c | 205.97$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dcd…b0ffbacked Illinois | 64c | 203.4$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Xavier | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f0…7e92backed Illinois | 75c | 189.63$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Xavier | 41c | 185.37$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c13…7ab3backed Xavier | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Illinois | 65c | 169.23$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.23 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Illinois | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Xavier | 37c | 161.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Illinois | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Xavier | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Illinois | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c05…36b3backed Xavier | 25c | 123.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046a…0701backed Illinois | 66c | 123.12$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad93…c030backed Xavier | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4b…a250backed Xavier | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Xavier | 35c | 100.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Xavier | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Illinois | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x049a…b22abacked Xavier | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Illinois | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 47 | 70.2%33 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…e793backed Illinois | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Xavier | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed Xavier | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb65d…3757backed Xavier | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Xavier | 36c | 95$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa954…b8edbacked Illinois | 64c | 94.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…1730backed Xavier | 35c | 86.52$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -40%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Illinois | 59c | 84.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…5b91backed Xavier | 39c | 77.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Xavier | 38c | 68.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b2…7c50backed Illinois | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Xavier | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7febbacked Xavier | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Xavier | 36c | 59.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f0…97bbbacked Xavier | 38c | 58.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b33…7fd4backed Xavier | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.