TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the New York Mets win the 2025 National League Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$129,741
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,741 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d60…03d8backed Yes17c25,516$4,334 inLost-$4,333.55520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes16c13,120$2,158 inLost-$2,15818837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes11c11,787$1,249 inLost-$1,248.561,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe13a…ee7abacked Yes7c9,610$673 inLost-$672.740%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes6c3,111$200 inLost-$199.993129%9 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f6d…6b4ebacked Yes10c2,067$206 inLost-$206.27100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0894…cf93backed Yes17c1,500$250 inLost-$250425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-62.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Yes6c1,259$75 inLost-$74.923324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick24cpaid-28.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes13c1,021$132 inLost-$132.232817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf92…4bfdbacked Yes12c1,000$120 inLost-$1208749.4%43 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes14c981.29$136 inLost-$135.856132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a41…069abacked Yes18c848.22$152 inLost-$152.233228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfee4…5b91backed Yes11c792$85 inLost-$8530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes12c502.27$60 inLost-$59.9926642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Yes12c497.79$58 inLost-$58.1312337.4%46 W · 77 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes12c474$58 inLost-$57.711,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes11c398.44$45 inLost-$44.821,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Yes16c250$40 inLost-$4088549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes11c220$24 inLost-$24.2921538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8236…7c8cbacked Yes6c204$12 inLost-$12.242123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0702…825cbacked Yes14c146.43$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes16c123.53$20 inLost-$20326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-82%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x01eb…4e70backed Yes14c100.22$14 inLost-$13.7633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1834…795abacked Yes12c100$12 inLost-$122512%3 W · 22 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-68.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xafdb…3cadbacked Yes14c100$14 inLost-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf4…957dbacked Yes12c100$12 inLost-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd58b…0c63backed Yes16c93.75$15 inLost-$156347.6%30 W · 33 L-7.9wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb1e9…dd75backed Yes17c93.2$16 inLost-$16540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e4…2d02backed Yes13c85$11 inLost-$11.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick30cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.