TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$731,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$721,798

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $731,396 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 278 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes45c79,444$35,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,984.961,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes44c70,871$31,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39,510.5118837.8%71 W · 117 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed No4c51,473$2,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.087035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bd7…bd45backed Yes39c34,409$13,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,989.49250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x279c…53cfbacked No61c34,409$20,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,989.49366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e4…75f7backed No60c31,956$19,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,173.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b9…8d7fbacked Yes40c31,956$12,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,173.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf4d…d242backed No61c30,123$18,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,375.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8624…b804backed Yes39c30,123$11,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,375.03250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x388e…0bd7backed Yes39c28,657$11,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,480.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5118…8488backed No61c28,657$17,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,480.77250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2c…ec5abacked Yes38c26,933$10,235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,698.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd2d…2fe3backed No62c26,933$16,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,698.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b63…1147backed Yes48c18,979$9,109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,869.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+76.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed No52c18,869$9,812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,811.863145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed No59c11,105$6,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,544.558125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed No68c10,387$7,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,086.937343.8%32 W · 41 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No15c8,686$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,329.7610328.2%29 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3aad…4e00backed No71c8,176$5,798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,798.25366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes46c5,702$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,059.921421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Yes25c5,255$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,941.4744456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No35c3,962$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.098330.1%25 W · 58 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No70c3,538$2,481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4816243.5%27 W · 35 L-9.4wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-27.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes65c3,503$2,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,228.0355053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes74c3,318$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.182842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe52f…e6b0backed Yes50c3,290$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No9c2,587$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.5796133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Yes64c2,489$1,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.046357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Yes70c2,488$1,739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.793554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Yes33c2,412$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,619.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+52.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e51…9531backed Yes53c1,690$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$790.57358.9%43 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked No64c1,685$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,084.5321538.6%83 W · 132 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc092…0cd9backed Yes40c1,530$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+101.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No58c1,522$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.79812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-82.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Yes53c1,512$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$715.632343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+31.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed No54c1,332$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.34443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e7e…3e1dbacked Yes72c1,179$845 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.21650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No62c1,089$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.361,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3308356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed No66c999.99$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.992045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed No51c960.5$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.626132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No34c943.18$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.641952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No48c937.44$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.041,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4e…b978backed No2c915.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.351225%3 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick16cpaid-12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No73c864.98$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.571,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes47c809$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.9717354.9%95 W · 78 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked No30c805.44$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.63911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-67.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8172…abeabacked Yes42c788.25$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.252725.9%7 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked No41c698.09$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2363942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5937…bd9bbacked Yes44c684.5$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.5326.3%2 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-82%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No60c674.25$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.7424250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9e5…13ffbacked Yes34c649.49$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426650%3 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+522.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcced…9ffebacked No56c585.83$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.88666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4788…4a13backed Yes66c536.95$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.222100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+120.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No28c533.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.516248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80e9…5105backed No56c533.85$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.954151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes39c526.08$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.842817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Yes41c513.5$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.0551151.7%264 W · 247 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28e2…ab8fbacked Yes40c433.21$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9313260.6%80 W · 52 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb747…8ad5backed No33c426.15$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes64c413.47$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.97041.4%29 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe561…97cfbacked Yes36c410$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd38a…4832backed Yes49c409.18$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.183855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Yes51c392.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.214341.9%18 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x430e…ed6dbacked No58c380.71$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.21090%9 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick65cpaid+44.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5903…f218backed No70c358.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.571040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-45%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes29c344$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.543129%9 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ed…a6c8backed Yes38c327.93$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.24540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8485…c13ebacked No35c321$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3516552.1%86 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa34d…67fdbacked Yes41c280$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.22634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed No61c275$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No68c266.99$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.891020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5d0…f84ebacked Yes37c265.62$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x245c…2486backed No44c259.63$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed No73c256$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick67cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes66c249.49$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.329947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb254…c972backed Yes42c238.76$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.76540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x355a…98a6backed Yes43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc9…4534backed No59c228.77$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.317164.8%46 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No59c214.44$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5110033%33 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No61c213.3$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.118852.3%46 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3b…38dbbacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901080%8 W · 2 L+3.4wins+0.34per pick46cpaid+99.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9ede…c417backed Yes36c200$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1291428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73dc…8d32backed No9c200$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Yes64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722263.6%14 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+33.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b86…0669backed Yes40c198.44$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.37548%36 W · 39 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes39c186.07$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.514050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6dee…f4e6backed No54c178.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.81266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf002…6221backed No57c177.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa370…00f4backed Yes43c177.79$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+182.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9bb…0feebacked No59c173.59$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes44c173$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.44333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0781…c4ffbacked No55c171.02$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.764445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9d…a540backed No58c164$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.61050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd468…9472backed No62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca9a…d6cbbacked Yes37c156.86$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No31c151.08$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.431,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe066…9ebbbacked Yes25c151$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+178.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Yes24c150$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11453639.9%214 W · 322 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x31e0…8811backed Yes35c149.2$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.98580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+57.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.