TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2025 National League Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,113,538
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$200,668

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,113,538 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2d27…76d8backed Yes1c28,859$149 inLost-$149.362733.3%9 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-32.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c66…6b66backed Yes0c21,526$22 inLost-$21.531421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c19,872$58 inLost-$57.93280%0 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeed0…1496backed Yes0c11,000$11 inLost-$1110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf69c…e43dbacked Yes1c7,960$40 inLost-$39.8375.4%2 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid-83.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250b…9c11backed Yes1c6,947$49 inLost-$48.6310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22bc…f82bbacked Yes0c6,909$28 inLost-$27.6410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391a…6e6fbacked Yes1c6,700$47 inLost-$46.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c6,125$25 inLost-$24.68480%0 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1942…0867backed Yes1c5,832$57 inLost-$56.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c3…1b52backed Yes1c5,640$45 inLost-$44.9210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb480…4ae9backed Yes1c5,000$35 inLost-$3510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e73…464fbacked Yes0c4,777$14 inLost-$14.3320%0 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a49…2434backed Yes1c4,500$36 inLost-$3610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92b4…e692backed Yes1c4,457$27 inLost-$26.7410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb25e…d2b2backed Yes1c4,000$24 inLost-$2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…0772backed Yes0c3,960$12 inLost-$11.563129%9 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-53%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeebf…6fbdbacked Yes1c3,700$22 inLost-$22.210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc382…740ebacked Yes1c3,500$17 inLost-$17.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Yes1c3,093$15 inLost-$15.472123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f7d…fddebacked Yes1c3,000$24 inLost-$2420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb540…b343backed Yes0c2,846$11 inLost-$11.38110%0 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78a5…4340backed Yes1c2,780$14 inLost-$13.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2000…0388backed Yes1c2,500$12 inLost-$12.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9de…63debacked Yes1c2,150$15 inLost-$15.0510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc293…1868backed Yes1c2,100$10 inLost-$10.510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec2a…af7bbacked Yes1c2,021$14 inLost-$14.1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28d3…e15fbacked Yes1c1,256$11 inLost-$11.3930%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.