TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,617
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,213

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,617 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf655…7ea4backed Yes3c27,833$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.97035.7%25 W · 45 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+52%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes3c7,911$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.268125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-49.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63a6…f308backed Yes1c5,821$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.35520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick33cpaid+1,718.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes18c5,786$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.41,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec8…5709backed Yes16c5,280$831 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$831.491118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick25cpaid-65.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Yes20c5,170$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.842045%9 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes14c4,831$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.7110033%33 W · 67 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes1c3,907$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4826642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd347…5205backed Yes21c3,906$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$818.622842.9%12 W · 16 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8679…4659backed Yes1c3,827$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.61616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-35.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3413…5204backed Yes25c3,173$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.51421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-58.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes2c2,771$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.71568.9%5 W · 51 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick7cpaid+105.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f58…0ff0backed No51c2,670$1,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300.33666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick28cpaid+899.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Yes1c2,594$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1373352.4%384 W · 349 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes11c2,497$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.910328.2%29 W · 74 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-40.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Yes19c2,250$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4259947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed No80c2,219$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.688330.1%25 W · 58 L-9.7wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-47.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x524c…64c8backed Yes3c2,022$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.296132.8%20 W · 41 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x648c…09c6backed Yes12c1,700$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31df…a53fbacked Yes13c1,413$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes11c1,410$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0996133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes6c1,368$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.883929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2f…82ddbacked Yes17c1,245$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.0670%0 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes25c1,223$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.634443.2%19 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-30.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa0d4…9649backed Yes7c1,104$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cab…6817backed Yes26c1,000$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-46%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Yes19c977.31$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.3517244.8%77 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes6c929.86$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-55.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5208…1822backed Yes7c858$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7687…d750backed Yes3c804.32$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252429.2%7 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe898…769fbacked Yes20c712.88$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.792240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb99d…7f07backed Yes5c697$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85ce…be28backed Yes7c662$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0233…5f75backed Yes5c650$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x596e…b8fbbacked Yes7c641$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5018…58cebacked Yes4c636.9$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No72c624.73$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.8835854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes28c619.25$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.781020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes8c558.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.863942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes10c532.86$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.992817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-45.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Yes9c530.51$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.128356.6%47 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15f4…3da4backed Yes7c516$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa4a…0502backed Yes6c512$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.89333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick14cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes18c475$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.06333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a1…e659backed Yes7c475$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcde…c6bcbacked Yes10c472$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da2…e524backed Yes4c468$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaabc…a190backed Yes32c459.53$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.494652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x043a…9685backed Yes7c436$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…c9b4backed Yes18c433.22$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.913129%9 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick22cpaid-23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e09…403dbacked Yes7c427$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22f9…f0e6backed Yes5c423$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb9…6e3fbacked Yes24c414.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb5ec…3ebfbacked Yes6c406$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f77…a9a9backed Yes38c401$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.25922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-59.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2e…8797backed Yes5c400$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f03…9c15backed Yes9c397$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Yes15c389.03$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0338741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d01…c316backed Yes5c372$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6d…5e04backed Yes7c363$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ec0…cdf6backed Yes28c351.53$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x229b…0a04backed Yes7c348$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe93…f7aabacked Yes12c337$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes25c332.5$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.3216248.8%79 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…3d6cbacked Yes9c329$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcaab…6d0dbacked No80c318$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.69475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b52…f122backed Yes16c311$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa324…e051backed Yes5c309$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c98…0302backed Yes9c308$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1f5…361dbacked Yes9c307$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8810…71b8backed Yes5c306$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe07…319ebacked Yes9c303$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9c3…973ebacked Yes35c282.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56d1…bd4fbacked Yes10c281$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd280…d155backed Yes5c279$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x25a0…846cbacked Yes7c278$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fc6…0634backed Yes18c275.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5506…ce90backed Yes5c256$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d02…78f0backed Yes7c244$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a6…22afbacked Yes10c239$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes11c237$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3841751.3%214 W · 203 L+14.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c02…5f4ebacked Yes10c237$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3560…d5d8backed Yes10c236$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x703a…fe2fbacked Yes10c235$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca54…2251backed Yes9c232$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db8…feb8backed Yes7c225$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4641…d920backed Yes9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31ac…d1d6backed Yes7c219$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5032…c3f1backed Yes7c219$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf401…f573backed Yes20c208$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa99b…65cdbacked Yes20c201.01$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa657…d387backed Yes19c193$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e2…6354backed Yes20c186$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507c…4166backed Yes21c185$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc799…8de9backed Yes20c175$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb27…03a4backed Yes10c170$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes24c170$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.241,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x00b8…ba55backed Yes16c169$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No76c164.97$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.931952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+69.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1812…5337backed Yes19c158$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.