Tweets · resolved market
Trump posts 10-19 times on X?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401ff7c20ee2b38d03b2271825795ecb4b31f113a76e9042b818f11767505072
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $132,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,225
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7bda…121bbacked Yes | 19c | 22,824$4,329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,328.64 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108e…d5d0backed Yes | 25c | 5,230$1,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,301.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 7c | 5,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +244.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…d81fbacked No | 75c | 4,245$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked Yes | 4c | 3,222$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 0c | 3,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 15cpaid | +506.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 8c | 2,674$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.5 | 262 | 24%63 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5398…a652backed Yes | 4c | 2,415$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +111.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6445…4ec0backed Yes | 3c | 2,110$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 10c | 1,760$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.13 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1785…b782backed No | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x685e…bb41backed Yes | 27c | 1,488$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.98 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…8100backed Yes | 46c | 1,455$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.22 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76e4…c5aebacked Yes | 80c | 1,434$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…6bcbbacked Yes | 32c | 1,182$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.69 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bba…9b86backed Yes | 3c | 1,130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Yes | 39c | 1,100$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70de…db94backed Yes | 8c | 1,090$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe0…f2a8backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.03 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…5535backed Yes | 28c | 881.22$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 7c | 850.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.8 | 32 | 9.4%3 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7ba8backed Yes | 13c | 787.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.81 | 155 | 11.6%18 W · 137 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 12c | 781.36$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Yes | 5c | 776.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 38c | 771.27$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.09 | 92 | 25%23 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0e…9b75backed Yes | 3c | 761.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a9…36bbbacked Yes | 40c | 744.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 3c | 729.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 76c | 713.01$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf86d…e314backed Yes | 36c | 697.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ceb…4790backed Yes | 33c | 660.97$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f69…f07ebacked Yes | 19c | 651.59$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.65 | 52 | 9.6%5 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -56%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 9c | 629.48$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bda…20ffbacked Yes | 5c | 614.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Yes | 6c | 599.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab99…7ac1backed Yes | 31c | 577.86$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.27 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2f…479fbacked Yes | 7c | 568.26$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed Yes | 11c | 539$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.68 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…0dacbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…67a9backed Yes | 8c | 500$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked No | 56c | 499.32$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94ac…df04backed Yes | 16c | 495.29$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…d19cbacked Yes | 22c | 449.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e00…e541backed Yes | 36c | 412.18$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x063a…eb4bbacked Yes | 16c | 409.64$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.29 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…ad23backed Yes | 7c | 402.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…d5c5backed Yes | 8c | 400$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63dd…c15fbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x047f…a10fbacked Yes | 36c | 398.88$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 15c | 392.83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.13 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…aad3backed Yes | 11c | 379.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 61 | 27.9%17 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Yes | 57c | 361.93$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.85 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -82%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfa…d143backed Yes | 7c | 349.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94a…4824backed Yes | 20c | 343.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 4c | 339.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 128 | 14.1%18 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…271cbacked Yes | 8c | 333$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 27cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…7227backed Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 4c | 268.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +61%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe338…5760backed Yes | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9864…5f30backed Yes | 12c | 249.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1f…6f69backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x251d…6c30backed Yes | 5c | 216.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f09…b06ebacked No | 70c | 214.36$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked Yes | 17c | 202.84$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.67 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 15c | 189.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9339…ed6fbacked Yes | 24c | 176.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…3330backed Yes | 7c | 164.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2518…a4ccbacked No | 79c | 149.83$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae5…1f0ebacked Yes | 34c | 125.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…64adbacked Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 29c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a43…d871backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +181.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…c18cbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaab…d94bbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…102abacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…9c7abacked Yes | 15c | 99.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…8340backed Yes | 11c | 97.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…50f5backed Yes | 38c | 95.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked Yes | 17c | 86.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb544…ad87backed No | 80c | 74.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…d489backed No | 80c | 74.4$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…a1d0backed Yes | 41c | 73.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 18cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…cef3backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…3a59backed No | 80c | 66.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…14afbacked No | 71c | 66.37$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ea…e8b2backed Yes | 57c | 65.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.65 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…4b5fbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00e6…a474backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…c6c2backed Yes | 44c | 47.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…c330backed Yes | 54c | 41.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b52…47ccbacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +60%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed No | 65c | 39.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 261 | 12.6%33 W · 228 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc84c…ce0bbacked No | 61c | 32.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…a8aebacked Yes | 58c | 30.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -75%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed No | 68c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73cf…f716backed Yes | 38c | 27.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trump posts 10-19 times on X?this page
- Trump posts 100 or more times on X?No won
- Trump posts 20-29 times on X?Yes won
- Trump posts 30-39 times on X?No won
- Trump posts 40-49 times on X?No won
- Trump posts 50-99 times on X?No won
- Trump posts less than 10 times on X?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.