NFL · resolved market
Commanders vs. Ravens
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e19b38352a70f0cf9d0d920fbc46d42d7cb572e096c7170045c271062dbe1e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ravensof Commanders, Ravens
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,953
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,953 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Ravens | 73c | 41,428$30,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,069.69 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ec…5d8ebacked Ravens | 74c | 23,826$17,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,202.12 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…c374backed Commanders | 27c | 21,178$5,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,718 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe91…70ffbacked Commanders | 26c | 16,623$4,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,319.77 | 137 | 51.8%71 W · 66 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd057…ae9fbacked Commanders | 29c | 5,937$1,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.44 | 118 | 21.2%25 W · 93 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Commanders | 26c | 5,902$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505.89 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Commanders | 27c | 5,886$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.81 | 128 | 27.3%35 W · 93 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Ravens | 65c | 4,848$3,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.07 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb3…425dbacked Commanders | 17c | 3,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Commanders | 24c | 2,805$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.55 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Commanders | 27c | 2,546$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.31 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8823…4c34backed Ravens | 75c | 2,257$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.25 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Ravens | 74c | 2,230$1,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.92 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a8b…b1c8backed Commanders | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e0…fe50backed Ravens | 73c | 1,980$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.6 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x438a…62e5backed Commanders | 26c | 1,947$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.27 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cd…238dbacked Commanders | 7c | 1,790$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.6 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…7089backed Ravens | 73c | 1,772$1,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.54 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b6…bb1cbacked Commanders | 26c | 1,587$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Commanders | 25c | 1,511$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.98 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79a1…5801backed Commanders | 31c | 1,452$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 107 | 68.2%73 W · 34 L | +9.6wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +12%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…407fbacked Commanders | 16c | 1,403$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Commanders | 13c | 1,306$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.99 | 217 | 13.8%30 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Ravens | 72c | 1,129$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.68 | 442 | 46.8%207 W · 235 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb4…a9bdbacked Commanders | 28c | 1,061$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.17 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Commanders | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Commanders | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Commanders | 27c | 978.95$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.09 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…1046backed Commanders | 27c | 962.78$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.95 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.22per pick | 37cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2376…30f5backed Commanders | 28c | 889.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Commanders | 28c | 850$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93b0…69c8backed Commanders | 26c | 819.04$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.95 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Commanders | 10c | 786.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Ravens | 75c | 780$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Commanders | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4590…989abacked Commanders | 26c | 730.77$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5973…5eaabacked Ravens | 75c | 730.63$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…aa32backed Commanders | 27c | 715.56$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ef…974cbacked Ravens | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f6…8afbbacked Commanders | 26c | 629.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8f…4a0fbacked Commanders | 27c | 589.91$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ee…d947backed Commanders | 27c | 556.22$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.18 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc626…2beabacked Commanders | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Commanders | 25c | 550.59$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.81 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | -14.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200a…d498backed Ravens | 74c | 504.36$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.72 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Commanders | 26c | 500.23$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8884…b428backed Commanders | 27c | 484.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…07c3backed Commanders | 30c | 458.63$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…9661backed Ravens | 76c | 386.82$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.03 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Ravens | 74c | 385$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed Commanders | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Commanders | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x092c…bbebbacked Commanders | 28c | 353.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Commanders | 23c | 350$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…3072backed Commanders | 27c | 348.33$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Commanders | 26c | 333.33$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 207 | 36.2%75 W · 132 L | -13.3wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Ravens | 68c | 312.5$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1130…f920backed Commanders | 27c | 311.11$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Commanders | 26c | 310$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 293 | 56%164 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Commanders | 34c | 307.01$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Commanders | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Commanders | 14c | 291.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca9…4ebbbacked Commanders | 27c | 273.87$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.49 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…b13dbacked Commanders | 28c | 264.29$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Commanders | 23c | 253.47$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Ravens | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7701…24e6backed Commanders | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 168 | 45.8%77 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a2…4ff7backed Commanders | 14c | 250$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Commanders | 27c | 248.61$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…39cfbacked Commanders | 31c | 237.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.94 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7882…b86abacked Commanders | 8c | 231.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf70…50e9backed Commanders | 26c | 215.4$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e2…e186backed Commanders | 28c | 208.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…9fbcbacked Ravens | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842c…2e53backed Commanders | 37c | 199.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 98 | 42.9%42 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…c9bdbacked Commanders | 27c | 197$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Commanders | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…b09abacked Ravens | 74c | 188.11$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1729…e0efbacked Commanders | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Ravens | 73c | 181.78$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f51…787bbacked Commanders | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf168…5725backed Commanders | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0e…433dbacked Commanders | 28c | 165.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fa…51c4backed Ravens | 69c | 158.99$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3959…a574backed Commanders | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Commanders | 36c | 151.32$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd7…c1f3backed Ravens | 71c | 149.98$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…7b6ebacked Ravens | 74c | 149.98$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 170 | 60.6%103 W · 67 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…611dbacked Commanders | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…18a5backed Commanders | 27c | 143.96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Commanders | 25c | 135.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.91 | 65 | 18.5%12 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Ravens | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 233 | 51.9%121 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d0…0c2ebacked Ravens | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…1914backed Commanders | 27c | 130$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…1f88backed Commanders | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Commanders | 27c | 125$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 284 | 36.3%103 W · 181 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Commanders | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e32…e3b7backed Commanders | 27c | 122.59$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…23a2backed Commanders | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…dfd0backed Commanders | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.