Olympics · resolved market
Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ba906e40b7700d097f8a63f545a0268a7c3050d6fd27cce14cb292c34c4a8e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,312,488
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,364,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,312,488 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f47…af93backed No | 21c | 179,618$37,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,664.37 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked No | 20c | 100,428$20,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,265.35 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 12c | 91,520$10,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,787.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…d3e7backed No | 11c | 65,660$7,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,328.47 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed No | 11c | 22,357$2,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 13c | 21,264$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +92.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…704cbacked No | 8c | 19,707$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf590…67e2backed No | 9c | 18,853$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…997dbacked Yes | 75c | 16,884$12,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 77c | 16,544$12,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,765.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed No | 14c | 15,599$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.3 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked No | 9c | 12,771$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.95 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked No | 20c | 11,146$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,197.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…00d8backed No | 48c | 9,213$4,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,442.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed16…ad27backed Yes | 52c | 9,182$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,431.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d9…1cf9backed No | 7c | 8,041$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 8c | 8,004$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…6cfcbacked No | 16c | 7,503$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206.03 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 9c | 7,212$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked No | 26c | 5,594$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.98 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed No | 20c | 4,720$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.77 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf924…3b93backed Yes | 79c | 3,750$2,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed No | 21c | 3,624$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.72 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc6…9988backed No | 9c | 3,350$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 36c | 3,154$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.21 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +159.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f8…20bcbacked Yes | 46c | 3,100$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +119.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f7d…197cbacked No | 18c | 3,042$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.59 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2629…a208backed Yes | 77c | 3,000$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed No | 21c | 2,794$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…c7f2backed Yes | 22c | 2,573$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 60c | 2,516$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…4ab8backed Yes | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Yes | 79c | 2,483$1,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 11c | 2,352$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed No | 17c | 2,269$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.11 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca9…6ccfbacked Yes | 79c | 2,129$1,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e91…b801backed No | 19c | 2,049$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.6 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca6…6b28backed Yes | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed No | 7c | 2,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked No | 15c | 2,000$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5a…ed52backed No | 15c | 1,900$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 10c | 1,894$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa431…677fbacked Yes | 64c | 1,877$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…8d5cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,829$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…3873backed Yes | 72c | 1,826$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…c4eabacked Yes | 78c | 1,800$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3473…1bb2backed No | 20c | 1,508$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349d…7d6abacked No | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…7808backed No | 24c | 1,500$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…ba70backed No | 15c | 1,500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe13e…c564backed No | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed Yes | 78c | 1,448$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfca2…48cbbacked Yes | 51c | 1,442$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 24c | 1,424$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.03 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed No | 8c | 1,375$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…96debacked Yes | 80c | 1,320$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3392…baa6backed No | 61c | 1,290$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…c195backed Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 68c | 1,220$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…8448backed No | 20c | 1,219$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…2da3backed No | 13c | 1,166$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed No | 20c | 1,143$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.76 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 46c | 1,134$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…be3ebacked No | 35c | 1,031$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.54 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed No | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8939backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d5…6f6abacked No | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed No | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd158…6e01backed No | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d49…a8c6backed No | 12c | 931.58$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4104…c5f6backed No | 22c | 887.94$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed Yes | 75c | 886.99$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…428bbacked Yes | 76c | 862.74$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x213c…92eebacked Yes | 79c | 860.76$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…5386backed No | 3c | 801.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee6e…807cbacked No | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Yes | 80c | 752.48$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 16c | 752.36$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.93 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1590…3ea4backed Yes | 77c | 740.43$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed Yes | 61c | 738.47$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked No | 17c | 726.33$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…9ebdbacked Yes | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…673fbacked No | 8c | 684.38$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc1…13fcbacked No | 5c | 681.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x238a…4ed5backed Yes | 80c | 669$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…ade0backed No | 15c | 660.82$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed Yes | 76c | 653.19$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.57 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133d…58e8backed Yes | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…4700backed No | 8c | 620.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd71…d127backed No | 16c | 605.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x872a…84c7backed No | 7c | 594.92$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…afc7backed Yes | 80c | 589.72$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83e6…271dbacked No | 17c | 581.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc1…b3bebacked Yes | 80c | 562.36$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a4…aa10backed No | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5363…f46bbacked No | 9c | 545.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…d67abacked No | 61c | 534$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked No | 19c | 532.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…0d18backed No | 38c | 530.08$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…9848backed Yes | 79c | 506.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?this page
- Will Australia win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Germany win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Greece win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Spain win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will another country win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.