Olympics · resolved market
Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa277684a370ec616e510a5b9aee8e885e7aabf1bd58c85650c7ed74070d89d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 6c | 21,178$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.91 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6597…997dbacked Yes | 5c | 13,610$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Yes | 7c | 12,456$835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 5c | 12,392$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.24 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…971fbacked Yes | 8c | 12,097$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 6c | 10,895$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.38 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 6c | 10,416$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.44 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 5c | 9,273$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.06 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed Yes | 7c | 7,218$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 7c | 6,486$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.08 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7464…8224backed Yes | 5c | 5,569$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed Yes | 6c | 5,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…d6bdbacked Yes | 6c | 4,694$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Yes | 6c | 4,170$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed Yes | 7c | 3,420$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9d…07f7backed Yes | 6c | 3,419$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 6c | 3,300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.9 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…4d72backed Yes | 8c | 2,577$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e0…f64fbacked Yes | 8c | 2,505$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 5c | 2,197$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.83 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 7c | 1,864$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,773$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…0652backed Yes | 6c | 1,713$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…410ebacked Yes | 5c | 1,555$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.44 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…3baebacked Yes | 8c | 1,555$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5db9…44e4backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…edf9backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c96…dd86backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c71…7569backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0c…e340backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…19b0backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10f…6365backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…a1bdbacked Yes | 6c | 1,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa611…4f02backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb836…ea77backed Yes | 6c | 1,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5f…a3ebbacked Yes | 6c | 1,300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0060…eb25backed Yes | 8c | 1,223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b82…7dabbacked Yes | 6c | 1,067$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 7c | 1,045$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…447bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 6c | 989.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6458…f085backed Yes | 6c | 847.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfef…77c0backed Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 6c | 819.86$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.6 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 4c | 800$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9113…642dbacked Yes | 7c | 785.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd79d…5489backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e6…85a5backed Yes | 8c | 649.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ba…0f5dbacked Yes | 6c | 600$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1c…5fe8backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e79…c497backed Yes | 7c | 500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 3c | 456.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…8692backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…9a82backed Yes | 8c | 420.47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…1ecbbacked Yes | 7c | 417$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…be3ebacked Yes | 3c | 393.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68a5…f95bbacked Yes | 6c | 377.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c2…0a62backed Yes | 4c | 374.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…e42bbacked Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…b601backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbbb…ef6cbacked Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…7f93backed Yes | 6c | 275$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9917…971bbacked Yes | 6c | 259.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf291…3c5dbacked Yes | 8c | 249.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d38…dbb3backed Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…37e6backed Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…dc7bbacked Yes | 5c | 209.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70e…1eeabacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a11…33f5backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x680c…799bbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcb…a555backed Yes | 6c | 177.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec4…07ddbacked Yes | 7c | 175.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…220fbacked Yes | 7c | 172.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…6e53backed Yes | 6c | 172.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f4…3359backed Yes | 7c | 171.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…8ca8backed Yes | 6c | 170.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a82…ec99backed Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…9dbdbacked Yes | 6c | 169.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75a5…8e75backed Yes | 7c | 165.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…103abacked Yes | 15c | 161.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…2632backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227b…e859backed Yes | 8c | 140$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…b18cbacked Yes | 8c | 128.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…6949backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0d…c3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 90$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?this page
- Will Australia win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Germany win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Greece win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Spain win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will another country win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.