Olympics · resolved market
Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebb485a57ca300852620eec4485b1411440d71998d346ce65e333b944683b28c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $384,304
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $149,875
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $384,304 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x43e3…c7f2backed Yes | 3c | 80,514$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 33,988$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.34 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…d3e7backed Yes | 3c | 23,914$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.13 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 3c | 23,100$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.98 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f47…af93backed Yes | 1c | 21,562$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…d6bdbacked Yes | 4c | 8,484$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 2c | 7,446$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.79 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…00d8backed Yes | 56c | 7,150$3,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,978.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes | 2c | 7,024$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.23 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 2c | 6,693$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.81 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf31d…eca9backed Yes | 3c | 6,603$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 2c | 5,630$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.94 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 3c | 5,485$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.15 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 3c | 4,911$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.74 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 4c | 4,793$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 3c | 4,790$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.97 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,042$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.66 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…c354backed Yes | 5c | 3,892$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 4c | 3,546$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.37 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked No | 22c | 3,403$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,661.54 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe8…2cbabacked Yes | 3c | 3,165$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 2c | 3,003$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…33c1backed No | 79c | 2,501$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b0…bdddbacked Yes | 3c | 2,350$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Yes | 3c | 2,330$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68a5…f95bbacked Yes | 2c | 2,246$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…4427backed Yes | 19c | 2,105$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7b…282dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,076$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…df27backed Yes | 3c | 2,018$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Yes | 30c | 2,000$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f56…6cfcbacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 2c | 1,613$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.59 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fdb…30cebacked Yes | 3c | 1,568$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb0…d4babacked Yes | 3c | 1,568$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…c63fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,568$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…512bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,511$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 3c | 1,503$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ee…fbe9backed Yes | 3c | 1,490$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Yes | 2c | 1,483$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…7103backed Yes | 3c | 1,453$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530c…9568backed Yes | 3c | 1,384$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c97…5165backed Yes | 3c | 1,384$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5e…218abacked Yes | 3c | 1,384$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf860…7e48backed Yes | 3c | 1,384$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da9…522dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,383$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222a…62f7backed Yes | 4c | 1,381$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed Yes | 23c | 1,298$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c19…f99dbacked Yes | 4c | 1,200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11dd…a538backed Yes | 4c | 1,133$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…ecf7backed Yes | 3c | 1,100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9d…07f7backed Yes | 3c | 1,094$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5794…3eefbacked Yes | 5c | 1,076$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b5…ab4cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +81.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…447bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f1…ff97backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e5…316dbacked Yes | 4c | 935.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33e…aec8backed Yes | 4c | 810.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa40b…b769backed Yes | 3c | 783.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…82ccbacked Yes | 2c | 700$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeee1…5a04backed Yes | 4c | 631.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c5…70d9backed Yes | 5c | 559.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 14cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Yes | 26c | 554.45$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b22…9ec7backed Yes | 4c | 527$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…4fecbacked Yes | 22c | 501.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 75c | 495.21$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…7041backed Yes | 5c | 490.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 4c | 459$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f7…138abacked Yes | 3c | 440.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7cebbacked Yes | 5c | 426.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…54c1backed Yes | 4c | 406.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82c…2dd8backed Yes | 5c | 400$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ae…471cbacked Yes | 3c | 377.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a7…4cb6backed Yes | 24c | 358.12$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…428bbacked Yes | 55c | 337.38$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…b3f2backed Yes | 56c | 335.45$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa346…baefbacked Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…0d5ebacked Yes | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4b…6423backed Yes | 49c | 242.93$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -73%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…0652backed Yes | 7c | 228.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x807f…bad6backed Yes | 44c | 215.35$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.54 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…acd1backed Yes | 5c | 200.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7920…096bbacked Yes | 5c | 200.27$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…3941backed Yes | 6c | 173.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Yes | 29c | 141.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b1…a12ebacked Yes | 15c | 137.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 78c | 107.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8e…7fc1backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…c86ebacked No | 78c | 85.72$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…4378backed Yes | 61c | 82.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0426…e348backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +126.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…9498backed Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?this page
- Will Australia win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Germany win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Greece win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Spain win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will another country win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.