Olympics · resolved market
Will Germany win Gold in Men's Basketball?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48804ab9487c54fcec0fd79707db252f35c43d830bd3913f59c5975445e52460
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $380,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $380,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 5c | 54,339$2,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,647.05 | 39 | 2.6%1 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8371…06febacked Yes | 7c | 35,203$2,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,435.92 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…df27backed Yes | 7c | 30,673$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.19 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 4c | 26,537$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.35 | 83 | 9.6%8 W · 75 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes | 7c | 15,889$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…d3e7backed Yes | 7c | 12,279$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.65 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d6…0f9fbacked Yes | 6c | 9,222$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aeb…1ecbbacked Yes | 6c | 8,005$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 4c | 7,304$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…d6bdbacked Yes | 8c | 6,070$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x105b…08f0backed Yes | 4c | 5,983$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.34 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0717…0bccbacked Yes | 3c | 5,480$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47de…410ebacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -65%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 3c | 4,983$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…8592backed Yes | 4c | 4,936$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes | 6c | 4,702$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.56 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22ee…fbe9backed Yes | 3c | 4,400$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 7c | 4,387$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.54 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -79.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 3c | 3,884$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.64 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca9d…07f7backed Yes | 6c | 3,601$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -68%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c3…a510backed Yes | 4c | 3,588$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1f…35d5backed Yes | 6c | 3,505$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafbf…c354backed Yes | 3c | 3,432$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…b3f2backed Yes | 4c | 3,360$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 2c | 2,504$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.43 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…9516backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef7…4206backed Yes | 8c | 2,000$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5795…4fecbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab88…9cf4backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…e410backed Yes | 3c | 1,450$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8e…c9bbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,398$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,379$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…aa81backed Yes | 15c | 1,377$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…9c9ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,299$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1113…2378backed Yes | 7c | 1,299$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…f255backed Yes | 7c | 1,299$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…469dbacked Yes | 7c | 1,299$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…bbe0backed Yes | 7c | 1,299$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…2322backed Yes | 7c | 1,299$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a11…5454backed Yes | 7c | 1,299$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf399…ccc6backed Yes | 7c | 1,299$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9813…83bebacked Yes | 7c | 1,299$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…c07abacked Yes | 4c | 1,250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes | 8c | 1,167$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5831…84b6backed Yes | 3c | 1,143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Yes | 7c | 1,001$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…a495backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…c85ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…8c67backed Yes | 7c | 994.01$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb6…7245backed Yes | 3c | 984.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf464…4761backed Yes | 3c | 922.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…60e7backed Yes | 4c | 889.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…ce86backed Yes | 7c | 866.44$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb03…b909backed Yes | 6c | 862.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…6be6backed Yes | 7c | 856.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84b…27cdbacked Yes | 7c | 856.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f6…d7c5backed Yes | 7c | 856.44$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed Yes | 4c | 813.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3a…c82dbacked Yes | 3c | 807$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7838…3b71backed Yes | 8c | 764.57$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4320…767dbacked Yes | 7c | 634.78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa290…5ae0backed Yes | 7c | 530$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…db08backed Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 3c | 519.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.39 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 29cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4237…11d3backed Yes | 4c | 488.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd517…d1f2backed Yes | 3c | 483.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 26cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 4c | 450.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6532…e7c1backed Yes | 2c | 440.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…75dabacked Yes | 7c | 436.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc1…a596backed Yes | 7c | 436.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad67…a975backed Yes | 5c | 426.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f5…967abacked Yes | 7c | 420$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd86…0c19backed Yes | 7c | 420$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…f88fbacked Yes | 7c | 410.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff9c…2c98backed Yes | 6c | 404$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…518abacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2324…2b86backed Yes | 7c | 364.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b7…0652backed Yes | 7c | 362.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed Yes | 3c | 351.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…b0c9backed Yes | 4c | 350$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e6…271dbacked Yes | 6c | 344.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb231…99a4backed Yes | 6c | 324.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e74…b428backed Yes | 4c | 317.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…78dabacked Yes | 4c | 315.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed Yes | 4c | 300.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…0d98backed Yes | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe472…4e5abacked Yes | 7c | 300$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1914…0b0fbacked Yes | 7c | 270.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0a98backed Yes | 6c | 259.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8315…df82backed Yes | 7c | 242.81$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed Yes | 5c | 220$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…7055backed Yes | 7c | 217.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 5c | 210$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…3a42backed No | 21c | 208.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 6cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x680c…799bbacked Yes | 5c | 206.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1a…d50dbacked Yes | 8c | 201.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2f…4b5fbacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6d…1afcbacked Yes | 6c | 179.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd3…7f27backed Yes | 7c | 153.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win Gold in Men's Basketball?this page
- Will Australia win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Canada win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Greece win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Serbia win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will Spain win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will another country win Gold in Men's Basketball?No won
- Will the USA win Gold in Men's Basketball?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.