TailMyPicks
Menu
Market

Olympics · resolved market

Will France win Gold in Men's Basketball?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$709,117
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$422,816

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $709,117 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x43e3…c7f2backed Yes4c87,042$3,808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,807.92425%1 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c8…d3e7backed Yes7c39,020$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.41020%2 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8371…06febacked Yes5c37,963$1,744 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,744.492326.1%6 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick18cpaid+85.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes3c27,714$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$830.1392.6%1 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x145b…d6bdbacked Yes7c19,007$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25080%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x849b…df27backed Yes6c18,158$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.950%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Yes9c17,481$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,550.05944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x008a…21a8backed Yes9c13,254$1,189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,188.911030%3 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-41.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes3c12,224$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.351526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe91…70ffbacked Yes5c11,439$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Yes8c10,494$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.631233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes4c8,703$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.48839.6%8 W · 75 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Yes6c7,184$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+38.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6597…997dbacked Yes16c7,184$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.4425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-66.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes9c6,636$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.143013.3%4 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ef7…4206backed Yes5c6,564$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.2350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5838…7ebcbacked Yes8c6,000$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa357…1045backed Yes4c5,936$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.3850%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafbf…c354backed Yes4c5,782$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9630%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd33a…2cc4backed Yes9c5,492$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf94…7169backed Yes9c5,420$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.16520%1 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick8cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes9c5,408$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.288236.6%30 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf369…6caebacked Yes9c5,347$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8227…9c9ebacked Yes3c5,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1113…2378backed Yes3c5,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f97…f255backed Yes3c5,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ac…8ab3backed Yes3c5,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7b6…469dbacked Yes3c5,222$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a7c…bbe0backed Yes3c5,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a41…2322backed Yes3c5,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a11…5454backed Yes3c5,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf399…ccc6backed Yes3c5,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9813…83bebacked Yes3c5,222$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfeb7…5fa5backed Yes10c4,867$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b7…0652backed Yes2c3,691$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.9650%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab88…9cf4backed Yes6c3,671$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb5…8b87backed Yes11c3,413$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37680%0 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes6c3,100$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.81450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeae…56fcbacked Yes9c2,977$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-56.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aeb…1ecbbacked Yes4c2,681$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.8450%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8be7backed Yes6c2,654$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.881258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+17.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Yes2c2,596$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.783246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-17.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5b…df8dbacked Yes2c2,591$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc21d…4ed8backed Yes1c2,580$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+100%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a84…9002backed Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb231…99a4backed Yes7c2,460$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.84540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick22cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ee…fbe9backed Yes3c2,430$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.6240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a24…5e14backed Yes0c2,217$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa8a…1589backed Yes7c2,169$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…33babacked Yes7c2,159$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes5c2,124$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0713419.4%26 W · 108 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2efc…5686backed Yes9c2,100$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+70.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes2c2,098$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5320%0 W · 32 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…f234backed Yes9c2,096$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.252114.3%3 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-67.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Yes5c2,063$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.853522.9%8 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+24.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93c8…bbb7backed Yes7c2,001$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.1520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca9d…07f7backed Yes3c1,920$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick38cpaid-68%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7838…3b71backed Yes6c1,787$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10720%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39e…e7c7backed Yes9c1,757$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60dd…f4b1backed Yes7c1,717$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253f…edf9backed Yes6c1,571$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6866…55b9backed Yes10c1,513$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc922…bf70backed Yes6c1,471$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.38825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-52.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x104c…cf33backed Yes6c1,449$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc6…9988backed Yes9c1,409$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes5c1,327$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.21147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1032…8523backed Yes8c1,299$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f15…a1b6backed Yes9c1,252$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9c…d5c5backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x743b…3b7cbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes9c1,199$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.811717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-54.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x789e…3956backed Yes9c1,178$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.15100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…8eaabacked Yes6c1,163$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ea…9516backed Yes9c1,151$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf178…07acbacked Yes9c1,140$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc9f…2e3abacked Yes14c1,132$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41a…1935backed Yes9c1,122$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.93333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-39.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcede…f2f6backed Yes6c1,044$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.821910.5%2 W · 17 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick29cpaid-83.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Yes6c1,012$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.05812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick17cpaid-69.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x566c…eca4backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd0…ac5dbacked Yes8c1,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf8f…d9bdbacked Yes8c1,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb39e…ca9bbacked Yes8c1,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31d3…6063backed Yes8c1,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac97…a99ebacked Yes5c1,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid-52.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb91f…e659backed Yes10c1,000$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.15per pick39cpaid+195.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe521…72b0backed Yes9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93f1…ff97backed Yes3c1,000$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f56…6cfcbacked Yes16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46c3…ade8backed Yes8c1,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bc9…d72bbacked Yes8c1,000$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x859a…b7a9backed Yes8c1,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6006…1477backed Yes8c1,000$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b83…7fc7backed Yes8c1,000$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fec…8c67backed Yes8c1,000$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67f4…4a81backed Yes8c900$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e0e…1dccbacked Yes6c899.22$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1fe…c728backed Yes9c898.88$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8030%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Yes2c894.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3060…35d5backed Yes2c792.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.