Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb608cf26e1081629f346a99372add130b2b97e7ff74d8396c5cba79e66e4c3bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,258,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,383,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,258,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbbed…c1debacked Yes | 11c | 398,869$43,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,537.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…f4a4backed Yes | 6c | 215,916$13,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,864.59 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…a926backed Yes | 4c | 82,043$3,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,684.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3877…4daabacked Yes | 7c | 75,308$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 8c | 66,113$5,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,411.27 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 1c | 60,681$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.84 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 2c | 52,901$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.82 | 114 | 19.3%22 W · 92 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 4c | 52,771$2,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.13 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3f…41abbacked Yes | 5c | 35,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…df7ebacked Yes | 12c | 29,028$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7772…5e17backed Yes | 2c | 28,291$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.72 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…597fbacked Yes | 1c | 27,909$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.47 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 11c | 23,000$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 4c | 22,220$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.34 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd152…4faabacked Yes | 5c | 22,204$1,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.08 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…fc02backed Yes | 11c | 21,557$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.2 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed Yes | 9c | 20,288$1,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,767.15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…030ebacked Yes | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e4…cd38backed Yes | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 25cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 3c | 19,240$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.97 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…8185backed Yes | 1c | 18,582$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.13 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f39…9ccabacked Yes | 1c | 17,398$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…8d50backed Yes | 8c | 17,198$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…977fbacked Yes | 0c | 16,763$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.12 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a5…9de7backed Yes | 1c | 16,605$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.66 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.24per pick | 12cpaid | +185%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…2a29backed Yes | 6c | 15,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -51%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ce…0f7ebacked Yes | 5c | 14,444$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6d…58f6backed Yes | 14c | 14,418$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…3612backed Yes | 1c | 14,307$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba5…660cbacked Yes | 5c | 14,034$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…48febacked Yes | 1c | 11,982$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…31a2backed Yes | 1c | 11,916$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48be…092bbacked Yes | 8c | 11,686$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…53ffbacked Yes | 5c | 11,013$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,799$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.07 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…8ef3backed Yes | 2c | 10,041$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bcf…70b0backed Yes | 10c | 9,950$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…2ddabacked Yes | 7c | 9,118$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce7…87c3backed Yes | 11c | 9,092$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 10c | 8,972$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.04 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dc…577ebacked Yes | 6c | 8,918$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…17a6backed Yes | 1c | 8,520$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd57e…95f3backed Yes | 12c | 8,350$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…90b0backed Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 5c | 8,117$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.03 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 2c | 7,512$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.12 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 4c | 6,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +83.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6dd…0baabacked Yes | 3c | 5,096$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa665…2c25backed Yes | 2c | 5,056$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3419…58f3backed Yes | 1c | 5,020$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f1…fa1bbacked Yes | 8c | 4,454$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked Yes | 16c | 4,378$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…367dbacked Yes | 9c | 4,213$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe8…ed3fbacked Yes | 1c | 4,208$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…9a7dbacked Yes | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 1c | 4,125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae4…273cbacked Yes | 8c | 3,869$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ace…56d0backed Yes | 11c | 3,848$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…c94fbacked Yes | 1c | 3,736$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…64b1backed Yes | 11c | 3,682$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 12cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9779…9378backed Yes | 1c | 3,670$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 3c | 3,660$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.81 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddbe…a4f8backed Yes | 1c | 3,600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…d6c9backed Yes | 9c | 3,570$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430d…626ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,560$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…a704backed Yes | 13c | 3,347$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7304…0379backed Yes | 11c | 3,332$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.76 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440d…55e6backed Yes | 10c | 3,205$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.64 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…da36backed Yes | 1c | 3,112$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…14e3backed Yes | 1c | 3,070$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb16a…81cbbacked Yes | 12c | 3,020$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…c677backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc529…4f2cbacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbff…e8e7backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 21cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2330…cb2cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…0c34backed Yes | 1c | 2,994$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe969…9c89backed Yes | 8c | 2,978$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdf…2f73backed Yes | 7c | 2,909$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf191…06e5backed Yes | 1c | 2,840$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7af…3ba8backed Yes | 7c | 2,839$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…1d80backed Yes | 1c | 2,797$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc15e…ab86backed Yes | 1c | 2,770$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4d…25b5backed Yes | 1c | 2,700$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…005fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,651$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…07acbacked Yes | 6c | 2,630$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c80…a608backed Yes | 14c | 2,563$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…9940backed Yes | 1c | 2,550$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01ac…a00fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,500$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…241cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,449$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…723ebacked Yes | 6c | 2,426$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -49%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 2,352$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb12a…95a5backed Yes | 5c | 2,314$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.37 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90d1…935fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,238$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked Yes | 6c | 2,200$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 152 | 27.6%42 W · 110 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf8…04ffbacked Yes | 11c | 2,116$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe448…f5cbbacked Yes | 7c | 2,114$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8771…9ed0backed Yes | 7c | 2,108$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | +126.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 2,039$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf750…4abbbacked Yes | 11c | 2,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.