Movies · resolved market
Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross more than $170m opening weekend?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea4f844e900758d5a3f931918fd505dd165329c2fd9425530de656d864916f10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $258,226
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc70c…07a4backed No | 3c | 25,923$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.28 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd70a…8482backed No | 5c | 16,048$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…28ffbacked No | 12c | 15,002$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,833.62 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1f…9cdebacked No | 4c | 14,372$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked No | 16c | 14,195$2,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,274.46 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…320cbacked No | 1c | 7,362$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked Yes | 68c | 6,587$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.38 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b58…c7cdbacked No | 0c | 6,478$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 20c | 4,513$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,601.35 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fc60backed No | 11c | 4,379$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.48 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc1…b8dfbacked No | 12c | 3,500$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.35 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…c521backed Yes | 80c | 3,494$2,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.81 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…25adbacked Yes | 69c | 2,794$1,926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.94 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…24dcbacked No | 12c | 2,726$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.58 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed No | 9c | 2,332$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.09 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8703…9c1bbacked No | 11c | 2,246$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed No | 1c | 2,138$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 14c | 2,010$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.57 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 78c | 1,939$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.43 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ca…7ed0backed No | 2c | 1,785$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd8…6d66backed No | 10c | 1,780$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…007dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,648$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.27 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8b…303cbacked No | 3c | 1,326$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…90bebacked Yes | 75c | 1,130$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +103.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 19c | 1,065$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c17…169abacked No | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d7…3d6bbacked Yes | 18c | 960.53$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.53 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -47%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafdb…f554backed No | 5c | 950$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0e…399fbacked No | 12c | 799.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7a…65a6backed Yes | 76c | 659.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10b…97a5backed Yes | 62c | 651$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…d00fbacked No | 10c | 649.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03a2…7e3ebacked Yes | 70c | 566.46$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4059…23dabacked No | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe367…f235backed No | 21c | 499.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9b…a65ebacked No | 36c | 499.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.23 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…4cc4backed Yes | 34c | 488.24$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 13c | 482.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b3…28a1backed No | 20c | 467$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Yes | 68c | 450$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 56c | 450$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc94…7d98backed No | 45c | 446.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6880…8abebacked Yes | 60c | 410$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2706…424cbacked Yes | 36c | 397.22$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bdf…ed7abacked Yes | 76c | 396.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2e…1a49backed Yes | 71c | 352.25$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 27c | 350$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…b7b4backed No | 9c | 333$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed Yes | 19c | 310.55$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.55 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed No | 53c | 309.97$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3517…d7c2backed No | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca9…b942backed No | 3c | 298.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fbe…7d07backed No | 36c | 291.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0e…26afbacked No | 8c | 290$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb623…d92cbacked Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked No | 20c | 276.22$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 63c | 268.46$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 21c | 265.4$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.36 | 128 | 6.3%8 W · 120 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbf…588fbacked No | 31c | 257$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a3…8484backed No | 28c | 250.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1237…de46backed No | 14c | 220$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…fd11backed No | 19c | 210.41$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 14c | 207.87$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 55c | 205$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.25 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…e881backed No | 24c | 201.26$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.03 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…19b0backed No | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…a2cdbacked No | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…37e6backed No | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8c…6f74backed No | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…f6a5backed Yes | 46c | 180.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…b601backed No | 12c | 168.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c41…deedbacked Yes | 60c | 166$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…3c92backed No | 17c | 163.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked Yes | 63c | 153.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.7 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2a96backed No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f68…e288backed No | 17c | 147.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83f5…5b90backed No | 14c | 143.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked No | 11c | 137.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9035…3461backed No | 20c | 124.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…4e8dbacked Yes | 55c | 121.81$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.79 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef4c…827cbacked No | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…3b7fbacked No | 45c | 111$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3996…3470backed No | 13c | 110.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…bf1cbacked No | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…c5e0backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2a…6fd1backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…f459backed No | 12c | 104.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2b…1298backed No | 16c | 102.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed No | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fc…1e8fbacked Yes | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…fcefbacked No | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…4907backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e06…bd0ebacked No | 44c | 92.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 69c | 86.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.96 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed89…f1c6backed Yes | 67c | 82.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…f696backed No | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44fe…b8c6backed Yes | 72c | 60.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c20…a5a9backed No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross more than $170m opening weekend?this page
- Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $110m and $130m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $130m and $150m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross between $150m and $170m opening weekend?No won
- Will 'Deadpool & Wolverine' gross less than $110m opening weekend?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.