TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1f0e…26af

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
82
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Golf, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Golf at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3831.6%12 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+481.4%+$240.7
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ferrán Torres: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.73
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+71.7%+$43.02
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+65.3%+$32.64
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$48.04
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Mexico to score first vs. England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Lionel Messi: 2+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$45.24
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$122.86
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$81.82
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT+669.2%+$200.77
Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+80.7%+$242.14
Will the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Nuggets (To Advance)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
NBA Playoffs: Timberwolves vs. Warriors (To Advance)backed Twolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2025, EDT+57.2%+$57.15
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Lakers vs. Jazzbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$46.15
Raptors vs. Thunderbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Heat vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2025, EST+203.1%+$40.61
Magic vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+42.9%+$21.43
Nuggets vs. 76ersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$36.63
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 U.S. Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Masters?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT+1,328.6%+$265.71
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2024, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool win on 2025-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$60.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.