Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico to score first vs. England?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabcbda2045125e98095d270773a8dbcbdc65ee2fc4f6b9ddfe796c8051ba684c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $116,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $122,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $116,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 55c | 25,460$14,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,456.81 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…227fbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 45c | 17,988$8,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,084.24 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 45c | 17,385$7,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,803.06 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed No | 55c | 8,171$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,648.17 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 55c | 5,893$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.12 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d0…5450backed No | 56c | 5,657$3,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,489.08 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 43c | 4,855$2,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,093.55 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 43c | 4,670$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,014.02 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 56c | 4,378$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.8 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 45c | 4,096$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.2 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 55c | 2,875$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,284.55 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,983$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.57 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed No | 55c | 1,959$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.14 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 43c | 1,502$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.86 | 232 | 40.5%94 W · 138 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ac…c5d1backed Yes | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 245 | 39.6%97 W · 148 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 45c | 1,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 64c | 1,191$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.89 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd7…7e74backed Yes | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 41c | 1,147$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.6 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 55c | 966.93$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.12 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 55c | 910$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2da…2ba1backed Yes | 47c | 855.94$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked Yes | 45c | 711.11$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 56c | 694.37$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.03 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 53c | 688.5$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.27 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c9…d8c1backed No | 74c | 676$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.96 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +26.4wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +82.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8e…9665backed Yes | 45c | 666.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 284 | 44.4%126 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 55c | 619.95$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.18 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 74c | 541$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.1 | 142 | 60.6%86 W · 56 L | +25.7wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf769…0114backed Yes | 43c | 492$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 22cpaid | -92.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 43c | 468.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 55c | 409.98$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.45 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…ecfabacked No | 73c | 406$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 113 | 60.2%68 W · 45 L | +22.2wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +63.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 44c | 397.26$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.86 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…dafabacked Yes | 43c | 384.42$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 45c | 370.56$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked No | 57c | 367$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd419…3f03backed Yes | 42c | 350$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…cbc2backed Yes | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 44c | 320.63$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…15a2backed Yes | 45c | 319.53$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 45c | 311$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.95 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked No | 55c | 272.7$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.72 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 57c | 248.71$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.92 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…6bf8backed Yes | 20c | 245.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed Yes | 42c | 242.28$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce3…294cbacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…5a3abacked Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 41.1%62 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…4091backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5234…1975backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5a…3637backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Yes | 44c | 227.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 148 | 41.9%62 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 57c | 227$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 57c | 227$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.77 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 56c | 226.63$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 58c | 217$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 55c | 202$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07de…9ca2backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 48c | 164.69$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 57c | 161.01$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.03 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…fe85backed Yes | 23c | 157.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 56c | 146.43$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Yes | 44c | 131.63$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.92 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf2…6599backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad3…b166backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…16d1backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x788d…cab1backed Yes | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 44c | 113.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…4822backed Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…36bbbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x052e…10fdbacked Yes | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 45c | 107.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…bb16backed Yes | 45c | 105$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 55c | 103.1$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 59c | 100.41$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1226…f998backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 56c | 99.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 55c | 94.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 55c | 93.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7f…bb6dbacked No | 56c | 91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.67 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ab8…c5c3backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 56c | 82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 57c | 68$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf347…87b3backed Yes | 44c | 67.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb62d…c8ccbacked Yes | 45c | 67.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…8aafbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa79c…5731backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3e…27e0backed Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 29c | 65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d1…6194backed No | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 200 | 56%112 W · 88 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 45c | 63.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico to score first vs. England?this page
- England to score first vs. Mexico?Yes won
- Mexico vs. England: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.