Fifa International · resolved market
Mexico vs. England: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb091bff69b55d527c8584c844b6a7ff397cca25ea007194ad24f2acc24a8b03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,147
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $95,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,147 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 10c | 22,790$2,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.04 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 12c | 8,177$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.02 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 7,973$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.22 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…8617backed Yes | 12c | 4,035$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.17 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Yes | 11c | 3,409$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.97 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b17…672ebacked Yes | 12c | 3,100$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa425…a8bbbacked Yes | 9c | 1,459$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 9c | 1,430$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.67 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 11c | 1,364$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 10c | 1,236$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.58 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes | 10c | 1,050$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 63 | 3.2%2 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 10c | 1,011$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1c…bd78backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 35.2%50 W · 92 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 10c | 649.22$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.36 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 10c | 600.06$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 10c | 549.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 13c | 495.08$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.76 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625a…2dd5backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 11c | 450$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3c8dbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 12.5%6 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…1773backed Yes | 11c | 290.91$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…814dbacked Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…5366backed Yes | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…e4e3backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…218abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f5…55b9backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…86acbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc431…53ffbacked Yes | 12c | 193.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9f…bb16backed Yes | 12c | 189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe555…573abacked Yes | 11c | 188.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 11c | 154.55$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 514 | 29.4%151 W · 363 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…68f9backed Yes | 12c | 147.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2e…b5c9backed Yes | 11c | 136.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac1b…92debacked Yes | 10c | 126$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a7…415bbacked Yes | 12c | 112.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…34bebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +11.2wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81d4…68b2backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…39c8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0459…0fcbbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 267 | 20.6%55 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacba…7960backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c35…8316backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +179.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5629…de17backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e6…5a71backed Yes | 12c | 96.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…6b36backed Yes | 19c | 72.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61c5…a564backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mexico vs. England: Neither team to score first?this page
- England to score first vs. Mexico?Yes won
- Mexico to score first vs. England?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.