TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe520…e4e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
273
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
18

Best Category: La Liga, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT8558.8%50 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 85 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+58.6%+$24.02
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$10.97
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$63.53
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.29
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.56
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$20.61
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.92
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$71.15
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$36.89
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$40.8
United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.73
Mexico vs. England: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$54.81
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$38.96
Colombia vs. Ghana: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$9.96
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+36.5%+$16.07
Showing 25 of 85 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT5166.7%34 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cancun: Sebastian Baez vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.35
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaurbacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.3
Cincinnati Open: Tereza Valentova vs Elina Svitolinabacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.31
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$5.65
Cincinnati Open: Ben Shelton vs Jaime Fariabacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
National Bank Open: Taylor Townsend vs Belinda Bencicbacked Belinda Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+99.4%+$17.63
National Bank Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Alex Michelsenbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
ITF Eupen: Theo Papamalamis vs Nicolas Ifibacked Theo Papamalamis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$8.49
Istanbul 2: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsudabacked Paul Inchauspe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Damir Dzumhur vs Mathys Erhardbacked Damir Dzumhur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
National Bank Open, Qualification: Maya Joint vs Ana Gruborbacked Maya Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$13.36
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.17
Targu Mures: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Irene Burillo Escorihuelabacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$7.71
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Storm Hunter vs Sofia Johnsonbacked Storm Hunter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.66
Palermo: Francesca Jones vs Fiona Ferrobacked Fiona Ferro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smithbacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+60.9%+$6.7
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Martin Damm vs Abedallah Shelbayhbacked Martin Damm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.87
The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann vs Bella Paynebacked Bella Payne · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.94
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smithbacked Lea Ma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.97
Segovia: Paul Inchauspe vs Keegan Smithbacked Paul Inchauspe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Hamburg European Open: Anna Bondar vs Alina Charaevabacked Anna Bondar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5
Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Lloyd Harrisbacked Alex Michelsen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$5.4
Winnipeg: Yosuke Watanuki vs Toby Samuelbacked Toby Samuel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunkbacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$4.76
Estoril Open: Stan Wawrinka vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$6.59
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3262.5%20 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.73
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.86
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.6
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$16.88
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.68
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$10.52
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.27
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.05
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.97
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.47
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$5.88
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$8.88
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$14.04
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.79
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+127.3%+$29.31
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$21.61
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$10.77
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-57.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.04
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+34.6%+$16.19
US forces enter Iran by March 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$13.88
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13.35
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+30.1%+$19.22
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+179.4%+$206.33
Will the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$52.98
Will the US next strike Iran on March 8, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will the US next strike Iran on March 5, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$67.07
Will the US next strike Iran on March 11, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the US next strike Iran on February 15, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will the US seize an Iran-linked tanker by Feb 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$13.58
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.93
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$11.47
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.09
Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$14.99
Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$78.36
All 19 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$25.31
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will FC Porto win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.66
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+67.6%+$52.57
Will FC Arouca vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.53
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+38.9%+$9.91
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$9.69
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.99
Will Aberdeen FC vs. Dundee United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$4.54
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick62cpaid+23.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.66
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$16.27
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$37.13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$22.55
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$12.1
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$28.13
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$15.07
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$28.12
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$24.52
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-52.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$25.57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$39.94
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.93
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.24
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.06
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-32.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$13.97
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$31.67
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$13.77
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$21.97
Clippers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$25.64
Thunder vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$22.13
Mavericks vs. Trail Blazersbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$18.25
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+43.5%+$21.26
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$26.47
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.25per pick59cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+36.4%+$17.46
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.47
Will SSC Napoli vs. US Lecce end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.14
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$23.99
Will SS Lazio vs. Genoa CFC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$11.05
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.04
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+55.7%+$19.63
Will Juventus FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.05
All 9 picks, newest first.
Mlslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-38.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Mls — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.30per pick59cpaid-51.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+44.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Sky vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$10.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+57.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$41.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oprah Winfrey be named in newly released Epstein files?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 December 22-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$27.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$67.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$51.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.