Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smith
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c089994b036aa17cad9ebc2b0b12f34b73abce80ddfa5eec65291dbd5407f3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Kasatkinaof Daria Kasatkina, Alana Smith
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,006
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $382,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,006 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daria Kasatkina | 72c | 41,125$29,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,464.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x187a…a22bbacked Alana Smith | 27c | 36,529$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Alana Smith | 27c | 17,224$4,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,679.44 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Alana Smith | 30c | 16,031$4,852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,852.35 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Alana Smith | 31c | 14,600$4,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,588.14 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Kasatkina | 71c | 12,150$8,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,497.57 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…6d61backed Daria Kasatkina | 55c | 11,809$6,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,314.09 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Daria Kasatkina | 71c | 11,760$8,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,373.42 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Daria Kasatkina | 62c | 9,063$5,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,443.98 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Alana Smith | 5c | 7,920$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.79 | 472 | 52.1%246 W · 226 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 7,180$5,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,868.49 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Daria Kasatkina | 40c | 4,857$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,913.99 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Alana Smith | 39c | 4,532$1,785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,785.39 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Daria Kasatkina | 73c | 3,954$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.97 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alana Smith | 30c | 3,741$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Alana Smith | 24c | 3,511$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.44 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alana Smith | 11c | 3,173$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.09 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Daria Kasatkina | 78c | 2,903$2,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.8 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alana Smith | 38c | 2,639$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.7 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Alana Smith | 10c | 2,611$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.24 | 380 | 33.9%129 W · 251 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Daria Kasatkina | 58c | 2,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.1 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alana Smith | 18c | 1,760$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.79 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Daria Kasatkina | 41c | 1,745$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.74 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c94…b843backed Daria Kasatkina | 54c | 1,591$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.81 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Alana Smith | 11c | 1,142$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.61 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 1,142$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.02 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9767…1a16backed Alana Smith | 31c | 1,141$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.65 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Alana Smith | 29c | 1,135$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.05 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca06…b26ebacked Alana Smith | 9c | 1,058$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.19 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc024…cc2ebacked Daria Kasatkina | 71c | 982.36$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.36 | 81 | 65.4%53 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Alana Smith | 9c | 800$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bd…a79abacked Daria Kasatkina | 62c | 784.82$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.68 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Alana Smith | 33c | 750$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Alana Smith | 46c | 720.75$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.97 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…2b3cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 70c | 703.37$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.09 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Alana Smith | 28c | 696.06$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.75 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Alana Smith | 9c | 676$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc196…2e6bbacked Alana Smith | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 69c | 631.75$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.75 | 302 | 51.3%155 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…9256backed Daria Kasatkina | 66c | 624.89$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.73 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daria Kasatkina | 57c | 616.78$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.49 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Alana Smith | 7c | 584.97$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa192…8876backed Daria Kasatkina | 58c | 578.95$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.93 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Alana Smith | 39c | 558.97$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb032…fd99backed Alana Smith | 19c | 542.63$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…7a97backed Alana Smith | 20c | 518.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.79 | 76 | 22.4%17 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Alana Smith | 33c | 500$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…d6a6backed Daria Kasatkina | 51c | 468.58$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.6 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Daria Kasatkina | 39c | 435.9$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.9 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Alana Smith | 54c | 429$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.22 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Daria Kasatkina | 59c | 420.39$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Alana Smith | 27c | 420.16$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.15 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb787…ad0abacked Daria Kasatkina | 61c | 399.16$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.67 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Daria Kasatkina | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Alana Smith | 54c | 378$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.32 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10bc…0b14backed Daria Kasatkina | 79c | 375.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.6 | 105 | 73.3%77 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f9…45a7backed Alana Smith | 59c | 359.46$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.8 | 380 | 66.3%252 W · 128 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Alana Smith | 21c | 333.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Alana Smith | 8c | 333$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Daria Kasatkina | 79c | 328.67$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.14 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Alana Smith | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeec…2f66backed Alana Smith | 16c | 317.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 216 | 61.1%132 W · 84 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Alana Smith | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…6f67backed Alana Smith | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.22per pick | 25cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alana Smith | 7c | 285.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alana Smith | 10c | 284.93$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Alana Smith | 14c | 271.43$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Alana Smith | 20c | 270.41$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 603 | 42%253 W · 350 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5142…0845backed Alana Smith | 44c | 255.59$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.7 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9d…5a06backed Daria Kasatkina | 59c | 251.88$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed Alana Smith | 40c | 250.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 370 | 44.3%164 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Alana Smith | 35c | 245.78$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Daria Kasatkina | 38c | 225$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Alana Smith | 36c | 220$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 747 | 43.6%326 W · 421 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4110…0b93backed Alana Smith | 9c | 209.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daria Kasatkina | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Alana Smith | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Daria Kasatkina | 41c | 185.29$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.32 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a51…1e9fbacked Daria Kasatkina | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 218 | 42.2%92 W · 126 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alana Smith | 25c | 170.77$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Alana Smith | 21c | 168.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 225 | 52%117 W · 108 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Alana Smith | 44c | 166.32$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.5 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67a1…1c91backed Daria Kasatkina | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.84 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Alana Smith | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Daria Kasatkina | 44c | 143.47$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.89 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc8…6655backed Daria Kasatkina | 72c | 141.94$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…1ae3backed Alana Smith | 43c | 140.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e4…db33backed Daria Kasatkina | 71c | 139.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 189 | 68.8%130 W · 59 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…16cabacked Daria Kasatkina | 39c | 136.21$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Alana Smith | 40c | 135$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Alana Smith | 35c | 134.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Alana Smith | 39c | 133$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.87 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cb…3bbebacked Alana Smith | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 148 | 56.8%84 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Daria Kasatkina | 44c | 120.45$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.45 | 398 | 44.2%176 W · 222 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Daria Kasatkina | 75c | 115.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 330 | 62.7%207 W · 123 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe762…4f6abacked Alana Smith | 47c | 107.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Alana Smith | 39c | 106.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Alana Smith | 35c | 105.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.58 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Alana Smiththis page
- Kasatkina vs. Smith: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Kasatkina vs. Smith: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Kasatkina vs. Smith: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Kasatkina vs. Smith: Set 2 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Kasatkina vs SmithSmith won
- Set 2 Winner: Kasatkina vs SmithKasatkina won
- Set Handicap: Kasatkina (-1.5) vs Smith (+1.5)Smith won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.