TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,508
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,277

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,508 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 264 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20b8…aa04backed No44c24,867$10,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,941.310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes56c20,536$11,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,035.7124349.4%120 W · 123 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ba2…1650backed Yes57c19,438$11,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,437.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No43c17,627$7,636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,635.72920.7%6 W · 23 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-39.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes70c14,537$10,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.4722745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No44c12,443$5,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,515.656443.8%28 W · 36 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2b5…4582backed Yes56c9,500$5,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,209.961650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bd6…795abacked Yes56c7,961$4,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,502.71250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76be…120ebacked Yes55c6,567$3,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,955.062040%8 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes77c5,899$4,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.873348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec8…1d07backed Yes51c5,525$2,818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,707.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No44c4,066$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.8730448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No44c4,064$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed No44c3,540$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0570…465ebacked No44c3,242$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No42c3,210$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.581656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No44c3,082$1,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,355.993946.2%18 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes50c2,976$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4884151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No44c2,500$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.971729.4%5 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick52cpaid-43.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes58c2,477$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed No45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-41.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No44c2,059$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes55c2,040$1,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.0152550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No44c2,013$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.714551.1%23 W · 22 L+7.1wins+0.16per pick35cpaid+44.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6980…5478backed Yes54c1,800$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No41c1,770$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.241,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked No45c1,689$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7603540%14 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes56c1,624$910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.754934.7%17 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No49c1,418$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.6445233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81a8…9c69backed No44c1,241$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.111275%9 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+45.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3814…3a51backed Yes55c1,234$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56b1…22ccbacked Yes55c1,154$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc942…4762backed No7c1,060$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb450…eaefbacked Yes50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes53c950.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.88933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-43.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed No48c940$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4501643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes56c917.12$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.5310640.6%43 W · 63 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed No45c846.5$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x374e…87c9backed Yes50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No40c737.06$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.12133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No48c735.25$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.469046.7%42 W · 48 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes67c714.99$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.2613250.8%67 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdeda…8e35backed Yes52c669.23$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1468…0163backed No46c645.13$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.7610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5820…4874backed No46c624.17$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed No45c622$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.91968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.5wins+0.24per pick45cpaid+117.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6fbf…c9febacked Yes56c618.27$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No33c607.54$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.0229637.5%111 W · 185 L+15.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+46.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f6…e7abbacked Yes50c600.42$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4705…a7dbbacked Yes50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed No44c596.12$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.291838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick29cpaid+14.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbbd…556fbacked No46c572.99$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Yes56c569.16$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9df…210ebacked Yes56c564.29$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes56c539$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.162751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes54c536$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.5627748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.713141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+19.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84d4…77a9backed Yes56c535.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.711100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0b8…e424backed No50c518$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e92…5280backed Yes56c514.29$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb8…5d8cbacked Yes56c512.79$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf47…055abacked No45c492.27$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe073…9959backed Yes56c480.45$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x357f…228dbacked No46c474.63$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.431050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f40…eb64backed No45c422.24$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.018435.7%30 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes52c394.23$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.232857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+37.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6942…6da1backed Yes56c389.38$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de0…55efbacked No45c388.02$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.366142.6%26 W · 35 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x76a6…1affbacked Yes54c358.54$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No17c345.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.63154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22fe…92c1backed No46c329.47$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No9c314.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.262544%11 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked No49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c3…60d9backed Yes56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326446.9%30 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0720backed No44c300$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+60.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb8bc…ea6abacked Yes55c299.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No16c295$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2526346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No44c284$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9628448.2%137 W · 147 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd010…2ee6backed Yes56c278.11$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes58c275.1$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.463100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+67.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes54c268$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2833148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed Yes56c267.86$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No9c261.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.934748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd6…a352backed No45c261.37$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No47c260$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.87060%42 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b07…78e0backed Yes53c243.22$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6039…9496backed Yes56c240$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Yes55c237.73$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No44c233.4$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2718351.4%94 W · 89 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5822…8774backed No44c228.9$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes74c225.61$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.863548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe86…ec62backed No45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.