Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa3e9f9355e59fbb50afb2215eedc831d8f91b097d7a4b8a3fa0d2a5a02ef9de6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb31e…c120backed No | 76c | 6,604$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,584.88 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd6…795abacked Yes | 24c | 5,741$1,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,377.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 1c | 4,484$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 452 | 33.6%152 W · 300 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 77c | 3,873$2,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.9 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac3…e2c1backed Yes | 26c | 3,394$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Yes | 8c | 3,333$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 2,747$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.43 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…02d2backed No | 75c | 1,230$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 866.5$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.35 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 73c | 676.71$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.39 | 132 | 50.8%67 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 78c | 520$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.98 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | +15.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Yes | 24c | 520$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 24c | 480.08$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.22 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 77c | 421.35$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 78c | 389.74$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.74 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 32c | 370$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 10c | 298.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 23c | 269.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 183 | 51.4%94 W · 89 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 76c | 257.05$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.69 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 27c | 251.49$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed Yes | 9c | 214.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 43.8%32 W · 41 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b0d…1d71backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 25c | 191.35$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 77c | 191$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x457e…c5b1backed No | 77c | 158.79$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e0a1backed Yes | 20c | 150$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…5951backed No | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 22c | 127.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.01 | 233 | 42.5%99 W · 134 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed Yes | 22c | 119.74$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 22c | 93.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 78c | 91.5$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 90.42$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 380 | 56.6%215 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84c…5269backed Yes | 18c | 81.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 32c | 81.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…a28bbacked Yes | 23c | 75.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3247…9488backed Yes | 24c | 72.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 18c | 65.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 228 | 54.4%124 W · 104 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 73c | 64.75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes | 32c | 64.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 71c | 59.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 77c | 50.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…bec4backed Yes | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…fe8dbacked Yes | 24c | 49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf23b…f519backed Yes | 24c | 45.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…487abacked Yes | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +135%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked No | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 78c | 28.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 76cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed No | 77c | 25.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6728…a070backed No | 77c | 16.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddfc…cd9ebacked No | 77c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 13.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Olympique de Marseille vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace end in a draw?this page
- Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-08-21?Yes won
- Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2026-08-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.